What will be the closest state this year, part II

[elcorazon]

I voted Virginia, which when decoded means I think the election will be close but Obama will probably pull it out.  NV is a similar one.  OH is probably the best vote if one truly feels it's a tossup.

J.J.'s pick means that McCain will win, probably quite easily actually.

Most people seem to be voting based on the assumption the race will be quite close.

If Obama were to win by, say 5%, which is not really a tremendous win at all, the answer could be NC or SD or MT or IN or something.  If McCain were to win by a similar margin, it could be PA, WI, MI, MN, OR... or some other state many may not feel is all that close right now.

[elcorazon]

J.J.'s pick means that McCain will win, probably quite easily actually.

No I don't. 

I can very easily see McCain winning OH, but losing some states Bush carried in 2000. 

you picked Michigan, not Ohio.  If Michigan is the closest state, McCain will win the election.  I am not suggesting that is YOUR opinion.  I'm stating MY opinion.  You could disagree but I doubt if you are picking Michigan to be the closest state that you think say, North Carolina will be a nailbiter, or even Virginia.

EDIT:  I guess I just personally doubt mccain can compete in MI and NOT carry CO, VA, OH, etc.