Ogre Mage
YaBB God
Posts: 3,503
Political Matrix E: -4.39, S: -5.22
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« on: April 08, 2009, 12:36:21 AM » |
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It depends to what degree progress is made in the states on the issue by 2016. The Democratic Presidential Candidates will take their cue from the grassroots. I hypothesize that if at least around a dozen states pass gay marriage or fully equal civil unions and public opinion polls show support for gay marriage at least not far from 50%, supporting gay marriage will become the mainstream Democratic position in 2016. There may be some Dem Presidential candidates opposing it, but their view will not be considered mainstream party orthodoxy.
I would say that Obama, Clinton and probably Biden's current stance against gay marriage is political posturing, not true conviction.
I also predict that my home state, Washington, will legalize gay marriage by 2016.
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