Pick a poll... any poll...

[zachman]

Bush's problem is he doesn't have any states that are prime for electoral gains. The dems. do.

[zachman]

The republican strategy should focus on Pennsylvania, the Upper Midwest, and maintaining Ohio and West Virginia, there is only so much he can do, but I don't think people's opinions will change tremendously from now until November.

[zachman]

      Oregon had a huge Nader effect and that will decline this time aroun. There are also former Deaniacs and ABB activists massed up on the west coast, although in a lesser concentration than California and Washington, that will turn the entire base there to vote for Kerry, giving him an approximate 5% lead. NM is definitely a worthwhile prospect to look into for Bush, particularly because the voter loyalties of the region are weak. WV has a weird tenedency to never be close, and did vote for Carter in 80', and I think Kerry can strike through there.

[zachman]

If I were the Bush campaign I would try a registration effort in Delaware. The state was only won by 40,000 votes and if you can increase turnout in the South and make campaign pitches there, you may be able to see a high turnout for Bush. Delaware would practically negate the loss of NH.

[zachman]

South Dakota could be another target for the democrats, although they already have a strong pool of options.

Is South Dakota a pro-guns and pro industry state much in the same way that West Virginia is? They had a close finish for Clinton in 1996 and Dukakis in 1988.

[zachman]

But in these states with low turnouts, a get out the vote effort could probably target enough votes to carry the state.

I'm surprised there isn't a movement of democrats who move to a town in ND or Wisconsin, from NY, Mass., or California for elections to get away with it.