When will the UK leave the EU? (user search)
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  When will the UK leave the EU? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Huh
#1
On October 31, 2019
 
#2
Sometime between October 31, 2019 and January 31, 2020
 
#3
On January 31, 2020
 
#4
Sometime in 2020, but after January 31
 
#5
Sometime in 2021
 
#6
Sometime after 2021
 
#7
Never
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 59

Author Topic: When will the UK leave the EU?  (Read 1720 times)
CumbrianLefty
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« on: October 20, 2019, 05:32:50 PM »

Imminently. Either the Brexit deal is ratified this week, which i think is the more likely outcome, or extension, snap election, BoJo destroys infighting opposition just because so many people in UK want the entire farce over with and think that he, for all his faults, will do that, and then Parliament ratifies deal.  

Anyway we will see very soon.

Its EXTREMELY unlikely to be rushed through in just a week - the government doesn't actually have a majority to do what it likes, remember? Your "analysis" of any possible election is equally ill-informed and simplistic.

Sorry, but must do better Smiley
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CumbrianLefty
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« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2019, 05:52:07 PM »

No election is ever a simple repeat of the previous one (and people in Labour *are* actually well aware of this) but the idea that the Tories hold all the cards is pretty misguided this time round as well. Polls are simply not reliable, and differ on the extent of the Tory lead much more than they did in spring 2017.

Another thing - the EU say they aren't going to complete ratifying the deal until November at the earliest, and until they agree nothing is agreed. Despite the bluster of Gove today, leaving on Oct 31 is now highly unlikely.
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CumbrianLefty
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Posts: 12,096
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2019, 04:09:28 AM »

We're leaving next week.  This has to end soon, one way or another.  Boris will take the country out and go to jail himself if need be.  Brexit is bigger than Boris.

Why, though? The most beneficial result for both parties is that the UK remains, while a no-deal would be bad for both the UK & the EU (though especially much moreso for the UK, of course).

An extension increases the odds of the UK remaining, or, at the very least, allows both parties to prepare & minimize any damage that will occur as a result of the UK (eventually) leaving.

Being tired of something doesn't justify doing something else that both the UK & the EU would suffer from by doing.

No.  Any extension, and especially revocation will destroy all legitimacy of the UK political system.  I want the UK to continue being a democracy for a while still..

And I thought some of the earlier comments in this thread were simplistic and ill informed Smiley
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CumbrianLefty
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Posts: 12,096
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« Reply #3 on: October 23, 2019, 05:51:46 AM »

Voted Option 7. Mark my words, the UK will never leave the EU. In the end, Brexit will be canceled completely.

civil war if that happens.

Not if it happens via another referendum.
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CumbrianLefty
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Posts: 12,096
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« Reply #4 on: October 23, 2019, 10:48:58 AM »

Another referendum probably doesn't have the numbers, I agree (a shame IMO)

But it is widely claimed the government is worried a CU vote might be very tight.
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CumbrianLefty
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Posts: 12,096
United Kingdom


« Reply #5 on: October 30, 2019, 07:56:14 AM »

Another referendum held not long after Jan 2020 must have a decent chance of voting to leave again.
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