Who would win a war between China and the United States over Taiwan?

[dead0man]

There is .0001% chance the PLA could cross 100 plus miles of open ocean if the US, Japan and Taiwan don't want them to.

[dead0man]

China. The US military resembles the failing, fat and over-stretched Roman Army during the last years of the Empire.

and what does the PLA resemble?  Maybe an untested and under trained bunch of little emperors, using stolen tech that was mostly made in China.

[dead0man]

The US technological growth of the late 1800s was built on stolen British and French technology, so it’s not like China isn’t copying a proven model of development.

China does have an issue of not testing their armies in high intensity open combat, which differs greatly from the regular drills they do on their coasts. They have however engaged in naval pursuits and skirmishes against piracy along with the paramilitary wing of the naval militia conducting some action.

I'm sure that will serve them well when facing the US Navy (and the Japanese Navy and the Taiwanese Navy not to mention the various Air Forces).  They're fat and over stretched don'tchaknow.

[dead0man]

The US technological growth of the late 1800s was built on stolen British and French technology, so it’s not like China isn’t copying a proven model of development.

China does have an issue of not testing their armies in high intensity open combat, which differs greatly from the regular drills they do on their coasts. They have however engaged in naval pursuits and skirmishes against piracy along with the paramilitary wing of the naval militia conducting some action.

I'm sure that will serve them well when facing the US Navy (and the Japanese Navy and the Taiwanese Navy not to mention the various Air Forces).  They're fat and over stretched don'tchaknow.

You are severely underestimating their missile capabilities. They have the technology to bombard the East Sea with enough missiles to stop reinforcements from coming near Taiwan.

do they?  And they've been tried against an enemy that was shooting back?  An enemy with air superiority and war proven effective anti-missile systems?

[dead0man]

and before you (or someone else) come back with "but they hypersonic".  science

The United States, Russia, and China are developing an array of hypersonic weapons--maneuverable vehicles that carry warheads through the atmosphere at more than five times the speed of sound. Proponents claim that these weapons outperform existing missiles in terms of delivery time and evasion of early warning systems. Here, we report computational modelling of hypersonic boost-glide missile flight which shows that these weapons travel intercontinental distances more slowly than comparable ballistic missiles flying depressed trajectories, and that they remain visible to existing space-based sensors for the majority of flight. Fundamental physical limitations imposed by low-altitude atmospheric flight render hypersonic missiles an evolutionary--not revolutionary--advancement over established ballistic missile technologies. Misperceptions of hypersonic weapon performance have arisen from social processes by which the organizations developing these weapons construct erroneous technical facts favoring continued investment. The modelling reported here provides a basis for rigorous, quantitative analysis of hypersonic weapon performance.