It's still too early to say if Obama can win in 2012 or not.
If the election was tomorrow, it would be a close race if Romney was the nominee.
The thing is, although many Americans dislike Obama as our president, they still like him more than any of the GOP candidates. This is the sentiment I keep hearing from independents. They hate all of the choices. They despise the entire system of governance we currently have, and thus, do not believe ANY of our choices can fix the economy and the jobs situation. This is where we have our problem which will lead to a dismal turnout in the election.
I would guess lower turnout than 2008 if that were the case.
