NV Caucus Results Thread (doors close at 2 CT)

[Walmart_shopper]

Your friendly quadrennial reminder that having a caucus on a Saturday prevents many observant Jews from participating.

Not really. But I would imagine that states like NY and NJ with large Orthodox populations would be crazy to do this on a Saturday.

[Walmart_shopper]

51% say they're first time caucus-goers.

It appears that the real Bernie revolution only needed a state not entirely full of Karens to finally get off the ground. Somehow I'm not surprised that Sanders didn't quite go off in states full of middle aged white people.

[Walmart_shopper]

66%, very white, itll prolly go down as more hispanic workers come when their jobs end at the day, rn prolly a lot of white office workers on lunch break.

White office workers working on a Saturday? This is Nevada we're talking about.

[Walmart_shopper]

ENTRANCE POLL
Sanders 34.8%
Buttigieg 14.9%
Biden 14.5%
Warren 11.7%
Klobuchar 10.5%
Steyer 8.5%
Gabbard 0.5%

Glorious.

[Walmart_shopper]

wow, entrance poll is a Bernie landslide. If the results are like that, he is indeed the nominee has a nice lead after three states have voted.

FTFY

He may not have the delegates locked up, but I think a big Nevada win and an incredibly weak field makes it HIGHLY unlikely Bernie fumbles the ball after this.

[Walmart_shopper]

Is there a link to only the entrance/exit poll numbers?

[Walmart_shopper]

Bernie’s strength with Hispanics blows a hole wide open in the GOP establishment talking point that Hispanics are “naturally conservative”

Do people still even say that?

[Walmart_shopper]

Where are the entrance poll numbers? Can someone post a link?

[Walmart_shopper]

Where are the entrance poll numbers? Can someone post a link?

Go here and click on the "entrance polls" link:

https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/state/nevada

Also here:

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2020-primary-elections/nevada-results

Thank you.

[Walmart_shopper]

Trump won a landslide after today. Election is over.
America will never elect a socialist.

You are discounting the fact that Trump is incredibly toxic and that Sanders could shift to the center in a general election.

And because he hasn't become an avatar for liberal identity politics that shift won't be too crazy. He can emphasize economic populism without seeming like a carnival-barking white nationalist. That alone distinguishes him from Trump.

[Walmart_shopper]

It was malpractice that warren team didn’t focus on early vote

Kind of sums up her dumpster fire of a campaign.

[Walmart_shopper]

Looking to be a disappointing night for Bernie. Remember he got over 47% here in 2016.

The real story is Pete Buttigieg's groundbreaking candidacy and his strong 2nd place finish that should give him a lot of momentum going forward.

[Walmart_shopper]

If Sanders is that strong with Hispanics, he easily will win NV in a GE.

But probably lose a couple of big midwest states.

Being strong with Hispanics doesn't mean you have to be weaker with white people. The only people who are repulsed by the idea that Hispanics are voting for their guy are already Trump voters. In any case, it is possible that a strong showing among minorities could bring black turnout back up in the midwest and more than offset a drop in white support.

[Walmart_shopper]

After the results I plan going to bring back my "Is it over for Joe poll" or should I make a new one?

Is this really all that bad for him, at least compared to the others?

This will probably be Biden's best night of the primaries so far.

Or ever.

[Walmart_shopper]

66%, very white, itll prolly go down as more hispanic workers come when their jobs end at the day, rn prolly a lot of white office workers on lunch break.

White office workers working on a Saturday? This is Nevada we're talking about.

When I had my internship I often worked saturdays like a normal weekday. A lot of people were there too.

Brutal. I'm sorry.

[Walmart_shopper]

If Sanders is that strong with Hispanics, he easily will win NV in a GE.

But probably lose a couple of big midwest states.

Being strong with Hispanics doesn't mean you have to be weaker with white people. The only people who are repulsed by the idea that Hispanics are voting for their guy are already Trump voters. In any case, it is possible that a strong showing among minorities could bring black turnout back up in the midwest and more than offset a drop in white support.

Like I said, Moderator Ye doesn't allow legitimate on-topic points about Sanders being extreme and his success in the voting today showing the Democratic Party is extreme, but Moderator Ye will allow open season on Trump in an off-topic and trolly manner based on the standards Moderator Ye has already set. This is not the first time this Israeli has said this. He has droned on-and-on in this manner. Sad!

"This Israeli." If it makes a difference, I actually have US citizenship. And I do vote for whomever presents a politics of hope and decency in opposition to the race-baiting moral violence of Trump. But that's less important than the fact that there are many other Americans who may indeed do the same. Which, yes, in the context of a primary contest is worth repeating where worthwhile.

[Walmart_shopper]

Buttigieg getting so personal with Klobuchar is really hurting him. He has alienating Klobuchar supporters, who are now refusing to help him get viable.

No, it’s the other way around:

Klob was first to attack him on the debate stage a few months ago ...

That is completely untrue. He has been attacking everybody in Washington since the beginning of his campaign. Klobuchar was playing nice and trying not to attack others. Buttigieg decided to play dirty politics and he's paying the consequences now.

I think that his inability to appeal to an electorate beyond woke Karens and dudes in wine caves is probably the main reason for his demise. But everyone said that after NH Buttigieg had no path forward, because obviously he does not. Now we are seeing that more clearly. But I'm not sure piling on Karen Amy Klobuchar is going to help much since that, the daytime talk shows Karens watch, qnd Tom Edsall may be all he has left. Attacking the competence of the youngest woman running seems unproductive.

[Walmart_shopper]

https://twitter.com/makeroadactNV/status/1231326904214413312?s=20

The only way Bernie's Hispanic support will hurt him in the genersl is if insufferably conscientous white people keep refering to Sanders voters as "Latinx."

[Walmart_shopper]

Why are Latinos so pro-Bernie? Does anyone have a serious answer besides tHeY aRe DiSpRoPoRtIoNaTeLy YoUnG? That's not enough to explain these numbers. This is like Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton with the Black vote.

Because Latinos have a deeply communitarian political ethos, resonate with Bernie's systemic complaints, and are not socially liberal and perceive Bernie to be, like AMLO, an economic fighter and not a culture warrior.

[Walmart_shopper]

https://twitter.com/makeroadactNV/status/1231326904214413312?s=20

The only way Bernie's Hispanic support will hurt him in the genersl is if insufferably conscientous white people keep refering to Sanders voters as "Latinx."

This from the guy who says not to race bait. Where are you now Penn_Quaker_Girl?

Actually, the term "Latinx" is a gender-bending term laced onto an ethnic category. If anything, it's woke cultural imperialism using Hispanic identity as an ideological prop.

[Walmart_shopper]

Why are Latinos so pro-Bernie? Does anyone have a serious answer besides tHeY aRe DiSpRoPoRtIoNaTeLy YoUnG? That's not enough to explain these numbers. This is like Barack Obama or Hillary Clinton with the Black vote.

The minimum wage vote.

It's almost like you're stuck in a giant, Morning in MAGA 1986 time capsule.

[Walmart_shopper]

Was looking around some buttigieg precincts and one of them i couldn't use street view and it turns out it was a gated community.

I see a wine cave, I think.