Wisconsin’s data
https://madison.com/wisconsin-change-in-total-population-by-county-from-2010-to-2020/html_2536aafe-90dc-5707-b2ac-8c6c75ce48e4.htmlMy initial thoughts are as follows:
-The rurals did ok. Marinette, Florence, Iron, Bayfield, Burnett, Polk, and Douglas were all supposed to lose population (none did-in fact, Bayfield and Burnett grew substantially). The areas that were supposed to lose the most, (Price, Rusk, Lincoln, and Langlade) lost much less than expected. Overall, rural numbers mean good things for the GOP, with the exception the Dems should be able to keep their Senate seat in Douglas/Ashland/Bayfield counties.
-Dane grew more than expected; 2020 estimate was 552,000, in reality it was 561,000. Too bad for Dems that it’s so blue already. One saving grace for them though is that LaCrosse, Eau Claire, Sauk, Green and Columbia all grew faster than predicted, and Richland, Crawford, Lafayette, and Buffalo all lost, meaning it would actually be easier to make WI-3 more blue.
-Brown, Calumet and Outagamie grew faster than expected, meaning WI-8 will need to shed some heavily R rural territory.
-WI-6, WI-7, and WI-5 can easily take on more red territory, WI-1 and WI-4 will swap some suburban territory.
Overall, it’s a wash, but the pubs should have a bonus state assembly seat because rurals were underestimated.