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Author Topic: Fritz Election tracker  (Read 6205 times)
Meeker
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« on: August 23, 2009, 02:08:25 AM »

I think Fritz's math is a little off. When a candidate is eliminated, and their votes need to be redistributed, isn't it done at standard face value and not some sort of transfer value? For instance, when Sewer Socialist was eliminated he had 1.08 votes - 1 from Lewis and 0.08 from Ebowed. So shouldn't afleitch have then gained 0.08 from Ebowed and Jas a full vote from Lewis as opposed to each afleitch and Jas receiving 0.54 of a vote? I don't know for sure, but that was my understanding.
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Meeker
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« Reply #1 on: August 23, 2009, 02:52:00 AM »
« Edited: August 23, 2009, 02:55:31 AM by Meeker »

I'm re-running the math under my version... will post when finished.

EDIT: Lewis also preferenced Jas higher than Sewer Socialist, so his vote never should've been counted there in the first place.
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Meeker
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« Reply #2 on: August 23, 2009, 03:07:03 AM »
« Edited: August 23, 2009, 03:18:08 AM by Meeker »

This is what I think the results are as far as my understanding of the math is...


Total voters: 70, Quota: 12, last vote: Smash

Round I:

RowanBrandon16(FallenMorgan, Hamilton, NiK, Ronnie, Smid, cinyc, dead0man, RowanBrandon, MasterJedi, filliatre, JewishConservative, floridarepub, Libertas, A-Bob, Daniel Adams, officepark)
Marokai Blue13(Maxque, Ebowed, Flyers, opebo, Marokai Blue, Eraserhead, Lief, Holmes, XPostFactor99, Antonio V, anvikshiki, Iosif, Smash)
Fritz12(SewerSocialist, Sensei, dc_united, Fritz, BRTD, Bacon King, Boris, Rob,RosettaStoned, jfern, phknrocket1k, jokerman)
Franzl9(HappyWarrior, Frodo, realisticidealist, sbane, Sam Spade, Torie, bullmoose88, GM3PRP, Purple State)
Afleitch6(Hashemite, Moderate, Swedish Cheese, Verily, AndrewCT, Barnes)
Jas6(Xahar, Jas, Lewis, Sibboleth, ilikeverin, Vepres)
SPC5(tmthforu94, Mechaman, Giovanni, J.J., Brandon H)
Duke3(benconstine, Mint, SPC)
Sewer Socialist0

RowanBrandon, Marokai Blue, Fritz are elected and their surpluses redistributed.


Round II

RowanBrandon12
Marokai Blue12
Frtiz12
Franzl9.077 +0.077 (opebo)
SPC9 +4.00 (FallenMorgan, Hamilton, NiK, Ronnie, Smid, cinyc, dead0man, RowanBrandon, MasterJedi, filliatre, JewishConservative, floridarepub, Libertas, A-Bob, Daniel Adams, officepark)
Afleitch6.77 +0.77 (MaxQue, Marokai, Eraserhead, Lief, Holmes, xfactor, Antonio, anvikshiki, Iosif, Smash)
Jas6
AHDuke993
Sewer Socialist0.077 +0.077 (Ebowed)
Exhausted0.077 +0.077 (Flyers)

Sewer Socialist and Duke are eliminated and their votes are redistributed.


Round III

RowanBrandon12
Marokai Blue12
Frtiz12
SPC11 +2.00 (Ben, Duke)
Franzl10.077 +1.00 (Mint)
Afleitch6.847 +0.077 (Ebowed)
Jas6
Exhausted0.077

Jas is eliminated and his votes are redistributed.


Round IV

RowanBrandon12
Marokai Blue12
Frtiz12
SPC12 +1.00 (Vepres)
Franzl11.077 +1.00 (Lewis)
Afleitch10.847 +4.00 (Xahar, Jas, Al, ilikeverin)
Exhausted0.077

SPC is elected. He has no surplus to redistribute. Franzl is declared elected by default.


Elected:

#1: RowanBrandon
#2: Marokai Blue
#3: Fritz
#4: SPC
#5: Franzl

ETA: Franzl's vote doesn't change anything; just gives him a larger total in the final count. And of course I'm sure by morning everyone will have pointed out how flawed my count is Cheesy
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Meeker
meekermariner
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« Reply #3 on: August 23, 2009, 01:52:19 PM »

So fezzy's vote needs to be thrown out - what about Einzige's? Does his rant constitute campaigning?
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Meeker
meekermariner
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« Reply #4 on: August 23, 2009, 03:10:17 PM »

Potentially epic RPP fail
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Meeker
meekermariner
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« Reply #5 on: August 23, 2009, 03:28:16 PM »

Please hurry up !!! I can't bear the waiting to see if Fritz gets elected...
It'll take a while. This is not a simple calculation.
Polls close at 11:22 PM EST, about how many voters are left?




This election is held in accordance with Article V of the Constitution, the Proportional Representation Act, and the Consolidated Electoral System Reform Act (as amended).  The  voting booth opens at 12:00am August 21st, 2009 and closes at 11:59pm August 23rd, 2009.

Oh, didn't see that part. Smiley Still though, there could be a last-minute voting spree.

where did you get 11:22 from?

It's when you posted the booth.
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Meeker
meekermariner
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« Reply #6 on: August 23, 2009, 06:14:27 PM »

In the middle of an update...
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Meeker
meekermariner
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« Reply #7 on: August 23, 2009, 06:23:25 PM »

Total votes: 89, Quota: 15, Last vote: px75

Round I

RowanBrandon16
Marokai Blue16
Fritz15
Afleitch11
Franzl11
SPC8
Duke5
Jas4
Sewer Socialist2
EarlAW1

RowanBrandon, Marokai Blue and Fritz are declared elected. Their surpluses are redistributed (+1 for SPC, +0.75 for Afleitch, +0.125 for Sewer Socialist, +0.063 for Franzl, 0.063 is exhausted).


Round II

RowanBrandon15
Marokai Blue15
Fritz15
Afleitch11.75
Franzl11.063
SPC9
Duke5
Jas4
Sewer Socialist2.125
EarlAW1
Exhausted0.063

EarlAW and Sewer Socialist are both eliminated. Their votes are redistributed (+3 for Jas, +0.125 for Afleitch).


Round III

RowanBrandon15
Marokai Blue15
Fritz15
Afleitch11.875
Franzl11.063
SPC9
Jas7
Duke5
Exhausted0.063

Duke is eliminated and his votes are redistributed (+4 for SPC, +1 for Franzl)


Round III

RowanBrandon15
Marokai Blue15
Fritz15
SPC13
Franzl12.063
Afleitch11.875
Jas7
Exhausted0.063

Jas is eliminated and his votes are redistributed (+6 for Afleitch, +1 for SPC).


Round IV

RowanBrandon15
Marokai Blue15
Fritz15
Afleitch17.875
SPC14
Franzl12.063
Exhausted0.063

Afleitch is declared elected and his surplus is redistributed...  f**ck it.
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Meeker
meekermariner
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« Reply #8 on: August 23, 2009, 06:33:34 PM »

Franzl would be elected under the current total. I just don't know exactly what the final margin between him and SPC would be.
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Meeker
meekermariner
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« Reply #9 on: August 23, 2009, 07:35:08 PM »

I still haven't voted... and you just made my decisions quite a bit easier.
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Meeker
meekermariner
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Posts: 14,164


« Reply #10 on: August 23, 2009, 11:27:00 PM »
« Edited: August 23, 2009, 11:28:49 PM by Meeker »

Total votes: 93, Quota: 16, Last vote: Lunar

Round I

RowanBrandon16
Marokai Blue16
Fritz16
Franzl14
Afleitch11
SPC8
Duke5
Jas4
Sewer Socialist2
EarlAW1

RowanBrandon, Marokai Blue and Fritz are declared elected.


Round II

RowanBrandon16
Marokai Blue16
Fritz16
Franzl14
Afleitch11
SPC8
Duke5
Jas4
Sewer Socialist2
EarlAW1

EarlAW and Sewer Socialist are both eliminated and their votes redistributed (+3 for Jas).


Round III

RowanBrandon16
Marokai Blue16
Fritz16
Franzl14
Afleitch11
SPC8
Jas7
Duke5

Duke is eliminated and his votes are redistributed (+4 for SPC and +1 for Franzl).


Round IV

RowanBrandon16
Marokai Blue16
Fritz16
Franzl15
SPC12
Afleitch11
Jas7

Jas is eliminated and his votes are redistributed (+6 for Afleitch, +1 for SPC).


Round V

RowanBrandon16
Marokai Blue16
Fritz16
Afleitch17
Franzl15
SPC13

Afleitch has reached the quota and is declared elected. Franzl is elected without a quota.

Elected:

#1: RowanBrandon
#2: Marokai Blue
#3: Fritz
#4: Afleitch
#5: Franzl

----------------------------------

That ended up being remarkably even and simple in the end.
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Meeker
meekermariner
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« Reply #11 on: August 23, 2009, 11:45:32 PM »

PACIFIC REGIONAL RESULTS

Governor

Meeker1995%
NOTA15%


Lt. Governor

Ebowed1565%
Hamilton730%
NOTA14%
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Meeker
meekermariner
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« Reply #12 on: August 25, 2009, 12:52:51 AM »

Total votes: 93, Quota: 16, Last vote: Lunar

Round I

RowanBrandon16(Fallen Morgan, Hamilton, NiK, Ronnie, Smid, cinyc, dead0man, RowanBrandon, MasterJedi, filliatre, JewishCon, floridarepub, Libertas, A-Bob, Daniel Adams, officepark)
Marokai Blue16(MaxQue, Ebowed, Flyers, opebo, Marokai, Eraserhead, Lief, Holmes, xfactor, Antonio, anvikshiki, Iosif, Smash, Earth, Gmantis, Kalwejt)
Fritz16(Sewer Socialist, Sensei, dc_cutie, Fritz, BRTD, Bacon King, Boris, Rob, RosettaStoned, jfern, pnkrocket, jokerman, bgwah, KyleGordon, px75, Ogre Magre)
Franzl14(HappyWarrior, Frodo, realistic, sbane, Sam Spade, Torie, bullmoose, GM3, Purple State, Franzl, Tender, Peter, Meeker, Lunar)
Afleitch11(Hashemite, Mr. Moderate, Swedish Cheese, Verily, AndrewCT, Barnes, Gustaf, Dibble, Einzige, Afleitch, Winfield)
SPC8(Tmthforu94, Mechman, Giovanni, J.J., Brandon H, PiT, Lahbas, NC Yankee)
Duke5(Ben, Mint, SPC, DWTL, Duke)
Jas4(Xahar, Al, ilikeverin, Vepres)
Sewer Socialist2(Lewis, EarlAW)
EarlAW1(Jas)

RowanBrandon, Marokai Blue and Fritz are declared elected.


Round II


RowanBrandon16(Fallen Morgan, Hamilton, NiK, Ronnie, Smid, cinyc, dead0man, RowanBrandon, MasterJedi, filliatre, JewishCon, floridarepub, Libertas, A-Bob, Daniel Adams, officepark)
Marokai Blue16(MaxQue, Ebowed, Flyers, opebo, Marokai, Eraserhead, Lief, Holmes, xfactor, Antonio, anvikshiki, Iosif, Smash, Earth, Gmantis, Kalwejt)
Fritz16(Sewer Socialist, Sensei, dc_cutie, Fritz, BRTD, Bacon King, Boris, Rob, RosettaStoned, jfern, pnkrocket, jokerman, bgwah, KyleGordon, px75, Ogre Magre)
Franzl14(HappyWarrior, Frodo, realistic, sbane, Sam Spade, Torie, bullmoose, GM3, Purple State, Franzl, Tender, Peter, Meeker, Lunar)
Afleitch11(Hashemite, Mr. Moderate, Swedish Cheese, Verily, AndrewCT, Barnes, Gustaf, Dibble, Einzige, Afleitch, Winfield)
SPC8(Tmthforu94, Mechman, Giovanni, J.J., Brandon H, PiT, Lahbas, NC Yankee)
Duke5(Ben, Mint, SPC, DWTL, Duke)
Jas4(Xahar, Al, ilikeverin, Vepres)
Sewer Socialist2(Lewis, EarlAW)
EarlAW1(Jas)

EarlAW and Sewer Socialist are both eliminated and their votes redistributed (+3 for Jas (Lewis, EarlAW, Jas)).


Round III

RowanBrandon16(Fallen Morgan, Hamilton, NiK, Ronnie, Smid, cinyc, dead0man, RowanBrandon, MasterJedi, filliatre, JewishCon, floridarepub, Libertas, A-Bob, Daniel Adams, officepark)
Marokai Blue16(MaxQue, Ebowed, Flyers, opebo, Marokai, Eraserhead, Lief, Holmes, xfactor, Antonio, anvikshiki, Iosif, Smash, Earth, Gmantis, Kalwejt)
Fritz16(Sewer Socialist, Sensei, dc_cutie, Fritz, BRTD, Bacon King, Boris, Rob, RosettaStoned, jfern, pnkrocket, jokerman, bgwah, KyleGordon, px75, Ogre Magre)
Franzl14(HappyWarrior, Frodo, realistic, sbane, Sam Spade, Torie, bullmoose, GM3, Purple State, Franzl, Tender, Peter, Meeker, Lunar)
Afleitch11(Hashemite, Mr. Moderate, Swedish Cheese, Verily, AndrewCT, Barnes, Gustaf, Dibble, Einzige, Afleitch, Winfield)
SPC8(Tmthforu94, Mechman, Giovanni, J.J., Brandon H, PiT, Lahbas, NC Yankee)
Jas7(Xahar, Al, ilikeverin, Vepres, Lewis, EarlAW, Jas)
Duke5(Ben, Mint, SPC, DWTL, Duke)

Duke is eliminated and his votes are redistributed (+4 for SPC (Ben, SPC, DWTL, Duke) and +1 for Franzl (Mint)).


Round IV

RowanBrandon16(Fallen Morgan, Hamilton, NiK, Ronnie, Smid, cinyc, dead0man, RowanBrandon, MasterJedi, filliatre, JewishCon, floridarepub, Libertas, A-Bob, Daniel Adams, officepark)
Marokai Blue16(MaxQue, Ebowed, Flyers, opebo, Marokai, Eraserhead, Lief, Holmes, xfactor, Antonio, anvikshiki, Iosif, Smash, Earth, Gmantis, Kalwejt)
Fritz16(Sewer Socialist, Sensei, dc_cutie, Fritz, BRTD, Bacon King, Boris, Rob, RosettaStoned, jfern, pnkrocket, jokerman, bgwah, KyleGordon, px75, Ogre Magre)
Franzl15(HappyWarrior, Frodo, realistic, sbane, Sam Spade, Torie, bullmoose, GM3, Purple State, Franzl, Tender, Peter, Meeker, Lunar, Mint)
SPC12(Tmthforu94, Mechman, Giovanni, J.J., Brandon H, PiT, Lahbas, NC Yankee, Ben, SPC, DWTL, Duke)
Afleitch11(Hashemite, Mr. Moderate, Swedish Cheese, Verily, AndrewCT, Barnes, Gustaf, Dibble, Einzige, Afleitch, Winfield)
Jas7(Xahar, Al, ilikeverin, Vepres, Lewis, EarlAW, Jas)

Jas is eliminated and his votes are redistributed (+6 for Afleitch (Xahar, Al, ilikeverin, Lewis, EarlAW, Jas), +1 for SPC (Vepres)).


Round V

RowanBrandon16(Fallen Morgan, Hamilton, NiK, Ronnie, Smid, cinyc, dead0man, RowanBrandon, MasterJedi, filliatre, JewishCon, floridarepub, Libertas, A-Bob, Daniel Adams, officepark)
Marokai Blue16(MaxQue, Ebowed, Flyers, opebo, Marokai, Eraserhead, Lief, Holmes, xfactor, Antonio, anvikshiki, Iosif, Smash, Earth, Gmantis, Kalwejt)
Fritz16(Sewer Socialist, Sensei, dc_cutie, Fritz, BRTD, Bacon King, Boris, Rob, RosettaStoned, jfern, pnkrocket, jokerman, bgwah, KyleGordon, px75, Ogre Magre)
Afleitch17(Hashemite, Mr. Moderate, Swedish Cheese, Verily, AndrewCT, Barnes, Gustaf, Dibble, Einzige, Afleitch, Winfield, Xahar, Al, ilikeverin, Lewis, EarlAW, Jas)
Franzl15(HappyWarrior, Frodo, realistic, sbane, Sam Spade, Torie, bullmoose, GM3, Purple State, Franzl, Tender, Peter, Meeker, Lunar, Mint)
SPC13(Tmthforu94, Mechman, Giovanni, J.J., Brandon H, PiT, Lahbas, NC Yankee, Ben, SPC, DWTL, Duke, Vepres)

Afleitch has reached the quota and is declared elected. Franzl is elected without a quota.

Elected:

#1: RowanBrandon
#2: Marokai Blue
#3: Fritz
#4: Afleitch
#5: Franzl
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Meeker
meekermariner
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Posts: 14,164


« Reply #13 on: August 25, 2009, 06:33:11 PM »

I'd like to ask a question. This is probably not the right topic for it, but since we don't really have a place for this sort of question I'll still try here.

Well, I'm certainly not an expert in voting systems, but this has always interested me, so that I tried to research about that and now I know the basics. But there is something I don't understand about the voting system used for this election.
The Single Transferable Vote is suppposed to be a proportionnal system, selecting the 5 people that represent better the electors. In this case, why the quota fixed to be elected is 1/6 of the total votes insteasd of 1/5 ? If you fix it at 1/6 where there are only 5 senators elected, the representativity of the elected will be just slowly higher to 5/6, whereas we could have a 100% one with an 1/5 of the votes. This clearly hurts proportionnality of the system and can be dangerous.
If there is a reason why things are so, I hope someone could explain it to me, because this issue worries me since sometimes now. I admit that I can be wrong and will accept any sort of explanation. Thanks a lot. Smiley

I don't believe Antonio ever got an answer to his question.  Does anyone have an answer to this?

When Jas gets back from vacation he'll be able to explain it better than anyone.
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Meeker
meekermariner
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Posts: 14,164


« Reply #14 on: August 25, 2009, 08:58:24 PM »

I'd like to ask a question. This is probably not the right topic for it, but since we don't really have a place for this sort of question I'll still try here.

Well, I'm certainly not an expert in voting systems, but this has always interested me, so that I tried to research about that and now I know the basics. But there is something I don't understand about the voting system used for this election.
The Single Transferable Vote is suppposed to be a proportionnal system, selecting the 5 people that represent better the electors. In this case, why the quota fixed to be elected is 1/6 of the total votes insteasd of 1/5 ? If you fix it at 1/6 where there are only 5 senators elected, the representativity of the elected will be just slowly higher to 5/6, whereas we could have a 100% one with an 1/5 of the votes. This clearly hurts proportionnality of the system and can be dangerous.
If there is a reason why things are so, I hope someone could explain it to me, because this issue worries me since sometimes now. I admit that I can be wrong and will accept any sort of explanation. Thanks a lot. Smiley

I don't believe Antonio ever got an answer to his question.  Does anyone have an answer to this?

When Jas gets back from vacation he'll be able to explain it better than anyone.

Why does it have to be so confusing? Do we know who won?

The final results are posted literally two posts before yours.
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