States on "borrowed time" for each party (user search)
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  States on "borrowed time" for each party (search mode)
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Author Topic: States on "borrowed time" for each party  (Read 3940 times)
Nightcore Nationalist
Okthisisnotepic.
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« on: April 07, 2020, 11:48:47 AM »

NH isn’t really a blue state, it’s always been close.

WI is definitely going to become Safe R one day. Even the suburbs are trending R.

MN has the twin cities metro area that’s still growing; I think Dems are good there.

I don’t know why Maine votes for Democrats in the first place.
Vermont is an underrated GOP pickup oppurtunity in 2020. It's the second-whitest state in the country after West Virginia.

Down the road, probably. But not 2020.

Percentages don’t matter as much for these smaller states. Vermont’s D+26 is really about 70k votes, not some insurmountable 3 million difference like in California.

Plus, Vermont is projected to lose population in upcoming years, just like most Northeast states. Its population in the last decade has stagnated.

This.  Heck, Vermont is a better opportunity than Connecticut/Rhode Island because those have most of their population in one large metro.  Vermont is very rural and much poorer too.
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Nightcore Nationalist
Okthisisnotepic.
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,821


« Reply #1 on: April 23, 2020, 07:06:56 AM »

Maine and Georgia are really the only two obvious ones, if you ask me.


Really it's Georgia on a different level than everything else, but Maine is the closest Dem analog. New England whites are just so different from non-New England whites, and I believe there is a pretty large age-gap in favor of the dems, so I think they'll remain competitive even as the state becomes bright purple due to demographics.

Georgia Republicans just have no chance under the current coalitions. Next Virginia.


Eh, I don't think GA will turn into Virginia (which will be safe D in 5 years and start voting like Illinois or New Jersey) but it will be lean D, like New Hampshire is now.
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