Al... is proably right... if Kerry and Bush are evenly divided in WV at this stage Kerry may have the upper hand... steel workers in the north or the state and the population in the south are the keys to his victory... In fact WV could be a bellweather for this election... who ever wins WV might well win the election, as the national trend might well be in line with the result in WV... but its eight mounths yet...
If the Byrd-Rahall machine can get enough people out to vote in the Coal District or if the Steelworkers stay angry... Kerry wins.
If this is the case the map'll look a bit like this:
Except that Ohio County will be in red.
I have WV as a slight lean to Kerry. In 2002 the Democrats had a 61% to 29% advantage in voter registration - thats a heck of an edge.
Gore's stance on coal really killed him in 2000, and I can't believe Kerry (or anybody) could be that stupid again. West Vorginia is a traditional democratic base state - heck even Dukakis carried it.
Back to the Dems IMHO...
- Nice to see Gustaf back on the boards!!!
