Which House races do you think will be the closest in 2022?

[S019]

Going to need to wait for the maps, but my early guess is seats that Biden won around 9 or so with weak or mediocre incumbents that are not zooming towards the Democratic Party (I expect a red wave in 2022).

[S019]

We need the map first. It's possible Mike Garcia gets a more D-leaning seat redrawn and will either win very narrowly or lose very narrowly.

His current seat is around Biden+10, and honestly I think a redrawn seat might be too blue for him to hold on, when you get to say Biden+13-15, the headwinds in that seat become quite perilous, and even in a bad midterm for Democrats, I think he'd go down by a somewhat decent margin (like 3-5)