S019
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Posts: 18,440
Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -1.39
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« on: April 17, 2019, 05:27:07 PM » |
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10%
It's currently 53-47
You need 3 + the White House
-AL (even with Moore, this is Lean R, without Moore, it's Safe R)
So now you need 4 GOP seats
+CO (Lean D)
+AZ (Tossup/Tilt R, McSally is gone, if the Dem wins AZ)
+NC (Tilt/Lean R, gettable, but requires D candidate winning NC, which is unlikely)
+GA (Lean R, if Dems do win the WH, the runoff could favor Reps, because GA voters want to send a check on the incoming President)
Very tough, but doable in a perfect storm
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