CA-House 2020/2022: Candidates, redistricting, retirements

[S019]

Baugh
Rohrabacher comeback

[S019]

I think Rouda is highly favored to win again. He's one my favorites.

He’s favored. Which of these Republicans would have the best chance to win the primary: Mimi Walters, Janet Nguyen, Pat Bates, or Steve Jones?

Why would Walters run on CA-48, that would create nonstop attack ads, since she chose to represent CA-45

[S019]

I watched Rouda yesterday on Meet the Press, he declined to endorse Kamala, and said that he would have found Trump' conduct with Cohen and his children troubling, even if a Democrat was the President who did it. He seems to be moving to the center and preparing for a tough reelection battle. This makes sense as currently he is on the left wing of the establishment wing of the party (-0.4 on VoteView).

Janet Nguyen would make it competitive
Regardless of where Walters lives, the ads would be something like "Walters chose Irvine, over us, let's choose Rouda over her"
Rohrabacher might pull this off, but performed a lot more worse than statewide Republicans
Baugh would also make this competitive, and maybe the GOP can coax him into running

[S019]

Didn’t Rohrabacher move to Maine?

Great, then he can take down Jared Golden

[S019]

Didn’t Rohrabacher move to Maine?

Great, then he can take down Jared Golden

wow a district he could actually win in.

Plus Rohrabacher would be back in Congress. If Eric Brakey or some other crazy radical jumps in, the GOP should coalesce behind Rohrabacher

Meanwhile Nguyen tries to take down Rouda (I think he loses, because the district is very Republican down ballot)
Also Walters should run in CA-45, Porter is a bit too liberal for her district, plus she would not face constant attack ads