Gutierrez is getting smoked tonight. It will be Allred vs Cruz confirmed now.
...It's Hegar v. Cornyn all over again.
Not quite. Cruz is more offensive than Cornyn and Allred is more known than Hegar; so Dems have taken this race more seriously than they ever took TX-Sen. I def think Cruz is favored but would be suprised if he won by Cornyn unless some huge skeleton comes out about Allred
In 2020 the Democratic party was coming off 2018, they were not just targeting the Presidential race, but almost a dozen US House races along with control of the State House. Plus the Senate race.
This year they aren't really targeting any Republican US House seats. I think most unenthusiastic Democrats would vote, but Biden is not the rallying point around which you would want to build a mass organizational campaign.
Decent chance Texas drifts right this year. Not because of demographics or trends, merely because Democratic turnout falls a whole lot more than Republican.
