Looking at the early voting numbers, either the polls are headed for a huge miss, or election day turnout, especially in much of rural VA is going to be massive.
Or... the polls can be accurate too. This early voting data is not really telling much of a story. If anything, I expected much more early vote by now.
Is the premise here that the early vote total is "large" and therefore good for Democrats? How did we go through 2020 and still we can't comprehend how Dem skewed the early vote is and how R-skewed the election day vote is? That pattern is going to continue.
Early voting is "OK" for Democrats. It is not Nevada 2014 bad. The Democrats have thrown everything at it, they have contact lists, they are getting results.
But the ratio of resources invested to results is really ominous going forward.
