NY-19 Special Election Data for Progress: Molinaro + 8 (user search)
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  NY-19 Special Election Data for Progress: Molinaro + 8 (search mode)
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Author Topic: NY-19 Special Election Data for Progress: Molinaro + 8  (Read 2074 times)
Brittain33
brittain33
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« on: August 23, 2022, 09:58:27 AM »
Oh well. So even if Pat overperforms polls like the Dem did in MN-1, he’s still in a deep hole and losing independents.
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Brittain33
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« Reply #1 on: August 23, 2022, 10:14:17 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on August 23, 2022, 10:04:52 AM
Quote from: Brittain33 on August 23, 2022, 09:58:27 AM
Oh well. So even if Pat overperforms polls like the Dem did in MN-1, he’s still in a deep hole and losing independents.

There weren't any polls of MN-01 or NE-01

538 says there was 1 SUSA and 1 internal for MN-1. Perhaps I should have said “overperforms poll” 😀

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/house/minnesota/1/
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Brittain33
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« Reply #2 on: August 23, 2022, 11:09:42 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on August 23, 2022, 10:49:03 AM
also is this district really 94% white?!

Not that extreme, but the diversity numbers are quite low.

https://datausa.io/profile/geo/congressional-district-19-ny#demographics
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Brittain33
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« Reply #3 on: August 23, 2022, 02:18:39 PM »
Quote from: RussFeingoldWasRobbed on August 23, 2022, 02:06:31 PM
Quote from: Lief 🐋 on August 23, 2022, 02:01:48 PM
RIP, looks like the Red Wave is back on.
It was never off. There many examples of referendums that pass in a particular state ad then the electorate overwhelmingly votes for candidates who take the opposite stance(MO right to work for instance)

NE-1 and MN-1 were neutral environment elections, not red wave results.
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