Fox News National (A-) Biden + 9

[Brittain33]

I recall them having Donnelly romping to an easy victory and McCaskill's race in a dead heat the week before the midterms.

So?  Every pollster misses sometimes.  Fox News has an overall very good track record.

If you call consistent overestimation of nearly all democrats in nearly all races "very good," then sure.

You cited two from one election year. Have you really reviewed to confirm they’ve never overestimated Republicans or called races correctly?

[Brittain33]

Oh, another crappy Fox News poll. March 20-22, 2016 Fox News found Clinton up 11 over Trump. "But he wasn't the incumbent then" - I would respect that argument more if the undecided/other numbers were drastically less in this one. They aren't. 49-38 Clinton in 2016 and 49-40 Biden in this one. Says a lot people believe this one over the WaPo/ABC news one, which has little/no undecideds.

This is nonsense.  You're complaining that a poll EIGHT MONTHS before the 2016 election as being off.  Clinton probably would have won by a large margin if the election had been held at that time.  Do you think nothing changed in those eight months?

That's exactly the point. A poll 8 months before an election doesn't mean a whole lot, so people should stop trying to project the election from it.

We’re an election discussion forum. This is what we do.