MO-SEN 2018: The Megathread

[Brittain33]

If McCaskill wins, I think a lot of Republicans will have a meltdown LOL. Maybe it's the best if I mentally prepare for a McCaskill victory.

If by some miracle McCaskill wins, that means this class of Senators will have had 4 strong Democratic cycles to run in in a row, with all but 2000 being veritable waves. Lucky ducks. You have to go back to 1994 for Republicans to do well.

(2000 didn't turn out to be a good year for Senate Dems until Election Day, but it's the result that counts.)

[Brittain33]

If by some miracle McCaskill wins, that means this class of Senators will have had 4 strong Democratic cycles to run in in a row, with all but 2000 being veritable waves. Lucky ducks. You have to go back to 1994 for Republicans to do well.

Of the other classes,

1. 2016, 2010, and 2004 is a good run of 3 good cycles for Republicans, with 1998 as a wash.

2. 2014, 2008, 2002, 1996 was R wave, D wave, and 2 lean R cycles.

[Brittain33]

I've merged 3 of the 4 McCaskill threads on this board into a new Megathread. Since this is a poll and will have a short lifespan it can stand on its own. —mod.

[Brittain33]

Complete Toss-Up until she has a challenger pop up that's somewhat credible. Claire keeps getting luckier and luckier.

Unless 2018 shapes up to be a very different year than we're expecting, this class of Senate Dems has been a bunch of lucky duckies going back to 2000.

[Brittain33]

Lololol....the GOP is a mess:

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Swamp creature!

[Brittain33]

I just read on twitter that a referendum to overturn right to work was put on the ballot along with the Senate race. I don't think McCaskill had a turnout problem before, but now she certainly doesn't.

[Brittain33]

Galloway will pull McCaskill over the finish line.

LOL:

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2002&fips=29&f=0&off=3&elect=0&class=1

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?year=2002&off=11&elect=0&fips=29&f=0

Missouri is a much more polarized state than back in 2002.

Consider how many Trump-Kander voters there were just two years ago.