MO-PPP: Huckabee and Romney ahead against Obama (user search)
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  MO-PPP: Huckabee and Romney ahead against Obama (search mode)
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Author Topic: MO-PPP: Huckabee and Romney ahead against Obama  (Read 3574 times)
HAnnA MArin County
semocrat08
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Posts: 4,038
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« on: March 10, 2011, 02:58:04 AM »

A very weak showing for Obama, especially against Gingrich. Missouri really is rejoining the south, and it's happening a lot faster than I thought it would.

These numbers makes McCaskill's performance look even more impressive.

I don't think Missouri is joining the South. If that were the case, Missouri would have voted for McCain by well over 55 percent of the vote, and he didn't even crack 50 percent here. Elections are always close in Missouri; in no other Southern state are elections as close as they are, so I still argue that we are still a pretty representative state of the nation; the southern parts of the state do tend to self-identify more as "Southern," whereas the northern parts of the state tend to self-identify more as "Midwestern."

It's just that the rural areas are becoming more Republican (I know, I live in the real Missouri, if you will). It's cliched but people who live in the cracker parts of the state do vote with their Bibles over their pocketbooks (save for a handful of counties in the Lead Belt, i.e. Iron and Washington); that, along with regional/geographical proximity, is why Huckabee has the largest lead. If you look back at the 2008 GOP primary here, you'll see that Huckabee won a majority of the rural counties and that his best performance was in Southwest Missouri and the counties that border Arkansas. IIRC, the rural areas here are losing population (rural flight), so I don't think the state will "trend" much more Republican, but I may revise my opinion after I look at the composite results of the census data.

But I must say, I'm surprised Obama is doing so well here especially against Romney, and kudos to my state for not being dumb enough to vote for Queen Sarah. Show-Me No Stupidity State Tongue
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HAnnA MArin County
semocrat08
YaBB God
*****
Posts: 4,038
United States


« Reply #1 on: March 11, 2011, 09:26:03 PM »

...people who live in the cracker parts of the state do vote with their Bibles over their pocketbooks (save for a handful of counties in the Lead Belt, i.e. Iron and Washington)

Yes!  I know those counties very well, Hill, and I would add to that list St. Genevieve County (another rural county with kind of 'industrial' politics).

Ah, we're speaking so close to home for me. I live in Bollinger County, not too far from these counties we're mentioning.

I think the reason Ste. Genevieve County is so Democratic is because of it's French-American heritage and it's an exurb of St. Louis. It has been reliably in the blue column since 1984, I do believe. It's a part of the Lead Belt, too, and there is a mining constituency in some parts of the county as well as in St. Francois and Reynolds counties which are heavily Democratic at the local level and elections are close in state and federal races.
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