What is a swing state? (user search)
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  What is a swing state? (search mode)
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Poll
Question: What is a swing state?
#1
Where Bush came in between 48% and 54% in 2004 (three points from NA)		  
#2
Where Bush came in between 47% and 53% in 2004 (3 points from victory)		  
#3
Where both parties may have enough votes to win		  
#4
Where both parties have at least a 10% chance of winning		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 41

Author Topic: What is a swing state?  (Read 3786 times)
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« on: December 25, 2007, 04:47:54 PM »
« edited: December 25, 2007, 04:49:36 PM by Angry Weasel »
and what are those states? ...or something else (explain). Perhaps it's just states where both parties have to spend X amount of money or have a certain portion of the congressional delegation. (that would make MS,AR swingers though)
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #1 on: December 26, 2007, 09:57:47 PM »
I think that the MUST WIN states are
NM and CO or NV or OH ...if any party can sweep ALL of those states, while keeping ALL of their own, they have a mandate.

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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #2 on: December 26, 2007, 10:13:12 PM »
The GOP needs that. The dems don't.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #3 on: December 27, 2007, 02:16:33 PM »
Quote from: Reignman on December 26, 2007, 10:34:15 PM
I think the political map will look a lot different in '08 than '00/'04, but I wouldn't be surprised if in the home stretch the states that look like surprise wins default to their more historic leaniencies.

For example?
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #4 on: December 31, 2007, 01:29:41 PM »
Quote from: user60521 on December 31, 2007, 04:51:28 AM
In 2004 the swing states were Ohio, Florida, New Hampshire, Wisconsin, New Mexico, Nevada, Colorado, Iowa, and Pennsylvania.  For 2008 I would take Pennsylvania and Colorado out and add Virginia, West Virginia, Missouri, and Arkansas.  I base this on 2004 and 2006 and current opinion polls.

Well, Colorado has become close. All major candidates are now within 4 points of eachother.
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