Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 36,671
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« on: November 08, 2023, 10:30:04 AM » |
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When was the last time Democrats swept the state legislature during a D presidency? And if that seems like sophistry to you ask whether past results ever converted.
My take is that it shows that if the election were held today, Biden would probably do about as well or slightly worse here than 2016. In that environment, the PV is probably Tilt-Trump, which would originally put him on track to 2016+ME,NH,MN but with Republicans eroding in terms of efficiency, as depicted in 2022, and Trump’s tricks facing taller and taller challenges, it might only translate to a Tilt-R situation. But probably not. We’re still a year out.
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