Which election result from today would most foreshadow what will happen 2024 (user search)
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  Which election result from today would most foreshadow what will happen 2024 (search mode)
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Author Topic: Which election result from today would most foreshadow what will happen 2024  (Read 484 times)
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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Posts: 36,667
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« on: November 07, 2023, 03:57:03 PM »

My guess if MS flips then it’s very bad news for the GOP for 24 and if the VA senate flips its very bad news for the Dems in 24

I would say if that happens, it probably is save to assume that MN,NH,NM,VA are tossup and the big 6 are Lean R. Conversely, it could mean that they are Lean D and FL,OH,NC,TX and maybe IA and MO are not safe and maybe not Likely R.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,667
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 07, 2023, 03:58:50 PM »

The only result that would make me think something has fundamentally changed is Issue 1 failing in Ohio. Anything else would either be a continuation of the status quo, or could be explained by local factors.

In order for Republicans to win the senate in VA, they need to win statewide by 5. I think this and Mississippi changes the ball game. Abortion failing or passing by a large margin probably changes things. It might put Florida in contention and shore up Arizona.
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