Are you taking the over/under on the RCP generic ballot. (user search)
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  Are you taking the over/under on the RCP generic ballot. (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Are you taking the over/under on the RCP generic ballot?

Assuming the final RCP generic ballot is around R+3.0
#1
Under
#2
Over
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results


Author Topic: Are you taking the over/under on the RCP generic ballot.  (Read 966 times)
Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,719
United States


« on: November 05, 2022, 10:20:52 AM »

Over the current ballot but under whatever they publish on Tuesday; expecting significant movement over the weekend.
I can see this

So R+2? A blunted wave. 230 seats. 51- 52 senators.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 36,719
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 05, 2022, 01:39:08 PM »

Ask me after Selzer drops this evening

I’d take what they at face value. Anything under R+1, we’re getting a split congress. R+2,3 - what I’m expecting. Narrow sweep. R+4-5, Dobbs had no effect. >R+6- historical landslide, Dobbs is secretly popular.
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