Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,344
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« on: October 03, 2016, 06:20:16 PM » |
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« edited: October 03, 2016, 06:22:50 PM by Likely Voter »
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With the inclusion of this and today's other polls Clinton's margin on RCP (2-way) is +3.1. On Oct. 3 2012 (the day of the first Obama/Romney debate) Obama's margin was +3.1.
A week after that debate it dropped to Obama 0.7 and the margin stayed within 1% of a tie all the way to election day.
Hillary got about the same bounce from the debate as Romney did. One could argue that if Trump won the debate in the same way that Clinton and Romney 'won', Trump would be ahead. If Trump ends up losing the election, many may say he lost the election last Monday.
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