Predict who is in first GOP debate (user search)
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  Predict who is in first GOP debate (search mode)
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Poll
Question: Predict who gets into first debate (12 choices)
#1
Bush		  
#2
Walker		  
#3
Rubio		  
#4
Paul		  
#5
Huckabee		  
#6
Cruz		  
#7
Carson		  
#8
Christie		  
#9
Perry		  
#10
Santorum		  
#11
Kasich		  
#12
Fiorina		  
#13
Jindal		  
#14
Graham		  
#15
Trump		  
#16
Erlich		  
#17
Gilmore		  
#18
Pataki		  
#19
King		  
#20
Pence		  
#21
Other		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 50

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Author Topic: Predict who is in first GOP debate  (Read 1089 times)
Likely Voter
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Junior Chimp
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Posts: 8,344
« on: May 16, 2015, 04:07:38 AM »
The latest leak is that the GOP and Fox will limit the first debate in August to just 12 participants (which is still more than the record of 10 on stage back in 2008). Predict who makes the cut (note some of the above have not announced or even announced they will announce, so by choosing them you are predicting they will run and make the cut).
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Likely Voter
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,344
« Reply #1 on: May 16, 2015, 07:43:20 PM »
The criteria will be objective. It won't be based on invites. They won't be able to have Fiorina unless she is out polling others (or beating them in other metrics). I think that is why 12 is being floated as the cutoff. She is currently in 12th place in the RCP avg. But that doesn't include Trump and some others.   
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Likely Voter
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,344
« Reply #2 on: May 17, 2015, 12:54:20 AM »
WaPo have their own polling average and came up with this to show a ten candidate cutoff




Polls can change of course but just on name recognition Trump (if he runs) is almost sure to make cutoff.
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