OH-PPP: Obama 51%, Romney 46%

[Likely Voter]

exactly as I predicted. Obama's early GOTV operation is quite impressive

[Likely Voter]

Good poll, but with a slight Democratic lean. 

nice try but no. Just look at how PPP has polled in OH vs other pollsters. Their OH polls have actually consistently showed some of the smallest Obama leads.  Just look at the late September polls...

Gravis Marketing   9/21 - 9/22   Obama +1
Caddell/McLaughlin/SAN (R)   9/13 - 9/15   Obama +3
PPP (D)   9/27 - 9/30   Obama +4
Purple Strategies   9/15 - 9/19   Obama +4
Ohio Newspapers/Univ of Cin.   9/13 - 9/18   Obama +5
FOX News   9/16 - 9/18   Obama +7
NBC/WSJ/Marist   9/30 - 10/1   Obama +8
Washington Post   9/19 - 9/23   Obama +8
Columbus Dispatch*   9/19 - 9/29   Obama +9
CBS/NYT/Quinnipiac   9/18 - 9/24   Obama +10

[Likely Voter]

How is it that people are making these confident assertions without knowing how different party ID is now...

Due to some kind of simplistic belief that all states should have a party ID split of 33D/33I/33R and it has been and will always be the same.