UK General Election 2019 - Election Day and Results Thread (user search)
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Author Topic: UK General Election 2019 - Election Day and Results Thread  (Read 75877 times)
urutzizu
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« on: December 12, 2019, 04:06:48 PM »

Sky News Coverage has now started: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9Auq9mYxFEE
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urutzizu
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Posts: 587
« Reply #1 on: December 12, 2019, 05:03:58 PM »

So SNP with 55/59 Scottish seats but Tories still get 368 seats? Surprising!

That means an absolute Slashing of Labour in the North. Their Brexit position killed them. They will do everything for the working class except respect their vote. That was never going to work. Labour will now be forced to go for a pro-brexit Position. Britain will leave and not go back, no matter if Labour wins the next election.

And it will be hard to deny the SNP another Referendum on these numbers.
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urutzizu
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Posts: 587
« Reply #2 on: December 12, 2019, 05:17:59 PM »

On the Upside, we will now see Ruth Davidson go bathing naked in Loch Ness.
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urutzizu
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Posts: 587
« Reply #3 on: December 12, 2019, 07:29:36 PM »

The Labour candidate in Stoke on BBC right now is absolutely seething. Has to be years of frustration for guys like him building up.

"Who do you blame for your demise"

"Oh, the Labour leadership"

"Are you saying Corbyn and McDonnell need to resign?"

"Yes"

Brilliant.
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urutzizu
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Posts: 587
« Reply #4 on: December 12, 2019, 08:33:50 PM »

SNP gain Rutherglen & Hamilton West from Labour

Tories down 5%. If this is the trend they will lose most seats in Scotland.

That might have been down to tactical voting in this seat though.
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urutzizu
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Posts: 587
« Reply #5 on: December 12, 2019, 10:27:49 PM »

Bob Blackman beats the London remain Trend and holds Harrow East comfortably with big positive Swing - The Indian Vote swinging against Labour at its most obvious. But same in Leicester and other places.  
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urutzizu
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Posts: 587
« Reply #6 on: December 13, 2019, 02:03:43 AM »

BBC Projected eventual Vote share:
Conservatives: 45%
Labour: 33%
Lib Dems: 12%
Greens: 3%
Brexit party: 2%

Which makes the Opinium Poll bang on, despite the widespread ridicule it received.

Scotland Popular Vote:
SNP: 45%
Con: 25%
Lab: 19%
Lib Dem: 10%
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urutzizu
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Posts: 587
« Reply #7 on: January 02, 2020, 06:21:33 PM »

Have been delving a bit deeper into the election results and there almost strikes me to be a certain pattern, where a quite disproportionate number of northern/midlands "heartlands" constituencies where the Tories didn't win, despite winning neighbouring ones, was where their candidate was Asian.

Examples:

Alyn and Deeside (Sanjoy Sen); 58% Leave: Swing Con-->Lab 5.6%, Labour Hold.
Compared to Delyn; 54% Leave: Swing Con-->Lab 6.5%, Con. Gain

Stalybridge and Hyde* (Tayub Amjad); 59% Leave: Swing Con-->Lab 6.4%, Labour Hold.
Compared to Denton and Reddish; 61% Leave: Swing Con-->Lab 9.8% (Labour held this one)

Halifax* (Kashif Ali); 59% Leave: Swing Con-->Lab 2.8%, Labour Hold.
Compared to Dewsbury; 57% Leave: Swing Con-->Lab 4.3%, Con. Gain

Wolverhampton S. East (Ahmed Ejaz); 68% Leave: Swing Con-->Lab 9.9%, Labour Hold.
Compared to Wolverhampton N. East; 68% Leave: Swing Con-->Lab 12.2%, Con. Gain

Walsall South (Gurjit Bains); 62% Leave: Swing Con-->Lab 6.1%, Labour Hold.
Compared to West Bromwich East; 68% Leave: Swing Con-->Lab 12.1%, Con. Gain

* Decline in the Con. Vote share - quite rare occurrences in Northern/Midlands strongly Leave seats.  

The Latter two were sore red thumbs in what was a otherwise a complete blue sweep of the black country. The Walsall South one is perhaps a bit more questionable, due to the fact that Valerie Vaz is Asian too - though her name on the ballot paper might not let on to that fact.  

Rochdale, Sunderland Central, Bradford South, Barnsley Central*, Salford & Eccles*, South Shields* may be further examples. Are there demographic factors that explain these results? Or might there be racial bias involved?
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