Not happening. This race is Likely R, Hobbs will run behind Kelly (who's already an underdog.)
I mean this in the nicest way possible, and you are certainly not the only offender in this regard, but why even engage with these polls if your electoral predictions are more religious than scientific? This poll could say anything from Lake+10 to Hobbs+50 and I doubt it'd change your outlook much. That's fine, I'm not going to try to talk you out of it, but why engage with the polling if it's meaningless to you?
Give me one good reason I should believe this poll. Four cycles in a row they've underestimated the GOP.
I'm not asking you to believe it; God knows I don't think Hobbs is going to win by 9 or 5, or even that she's favored. My only point is that it seems odd to me from your perspective to even bother with these polls, because you seem to axiomatically believe them to be seriously flawed and therefore not worth the time of day. Like I said, I don't think Hobbs is favored, but polls with her pretty close to 50 as a non-incumbent do make me think she has a shot and factor into my analysis as one of many things helping to illuminate the state of the race. In your case, it seems that polls are completely meaningless to you, so why bother with them at all?
