North Carolina is the only real pickup opportunity for Biden this time. That alone gives him a lot more room for error. Winning both NC and GA allows him to break 300 while losing both Nevada and Arizona, which I suppose is a possibility if he experiences a similar drop in hispanic support that he did last year.
1984: Ronald Reagan
1992: George H. W. Bush despite him losing the Election Overall
1996: Bill Clinton
2004: George W. Bush
2012: Barack H. Obama
2020: Donald J. Trump despite losing the Election Overall
2024: Biden?
The last time Florida did not vote for an Incumbent President running for Re-Election was in 1980.
It is interesting that the only time Florida has trended left in the last 20 years was 2012. People often talk about Hawaii being very pro-incumbent, but it’s never really occurred to me that this might also be true to an extent in FL.
