Biden continues not to be in good polling shape in the swing states.
If this means he'll go down Hillary-style there, or wins by good mobilisation of his voters due to a close race --- who knows ?
C'mon man, you're an Atlas poster. You should know how Nevada polling works. Rasmussen of all posters showing a Biden lead in Nevada is an impressive result.
I still rate the chances of Trump being re-elected as enormously intact.
After the Senate confirms ACB in a straight-ticket vote ("the chance of a lifetime"), all the hordes of Evangelicals and Catholibans in the US will come out in droves to "thank" Trump at the ballot box.
I'm almost sure that the polls are wrong this time, because the above-mentioned groups don't tell their true intentions about Trump to pollsters.
Lol those people are already Trump cultists. There is absolutely no evidence of a shy Trump effect. At this point, given how much people worry about polls overestimating Trump, it is a very real possibility that they underestimate Biden instead.
I know many in NYC who are shy voters because of the stigma and backlash. I met a couple from Ohio who moved here and whispered that they never met anyone who was voting for trump in the city - i am a shy trump voter if people ask i say im undecided and waiting for the debates
I feel like if there were actually a lot of shy Trump voters, it would also show up in the 2016 vote question. Why admit to voting for him last time if you’re not willing to admit to voting for him this time. Yet all the polls show a big Biden lead even when the 2016 self-reported vote is tied.
