Fmr. Gov. NickG
NickG
Junior Chimp
Posts: 8,261
Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -3.49
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« on: October 23, 2018, 10:34:23 AM » |
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This looks very bad for Dems and the format of this election really hurts them.
If it were a FPTP jungle election with no run-off, Espy could plausibly finish ahead of both Republicans. And if it were just Hyde-Smith vs. Espy in a normal November election, there's a slight chance the race could slip under the radar and Espy could pull it off with a big enthusiasm gap.
But in an Espy/Hyde-Smith run-off in December, when this race is getting all the national attention in November, Espy has no chance. As long as Hyde-Smith finishes in the top 2, it's Safe R.
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