2024 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread (user search)
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  2024 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2024 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 45455 times)
Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,060


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65
« on: November 30, 2022, 02:47:39 PM »
NJ-07: Rep. Malinowski leaves the door open to potentially challenging Kean for a third time-
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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,060


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65
« Reply #1 on: December 24, 2022, 03:40:39 PM »
Quote from: UncleSam on December 24, 2022, 03:36:38 PM
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on December 20, 2022, 07:10:38 PM
Quote from: BenjiG98 on December 20, 2022, 06:37:08 PM
Doug Mastriano liked a tweet from a fake right-wing polling account that supposedly has him up 0.4% against Bob Casey Jr. Could Mastriano run for PA-SEN in 2024?



I have to admit that their feed is pretty funny. Smiley
The poll is a joke right? Or is it a hack internal?

No, it's not a real pollster; it's just a Twitter account that makes up fake polling numbers. Here's another one of their highly reputable (/s) gems:
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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,060


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65
« Reply #2 on: January 10, 2023, 06:13:37 PM »
Scott Baugh is running in CA-47 again:
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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,060


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65
« Reply #3 on: February 02, 2023, 11:59:23 AM »
These ratings seem sensible this far out. I'm quite surprised they put Santos at Lean D, as Cook is usually quite reluctant to put incumbents as underdogs to start (no matter how scandal-plagued or unfavorable their districts are).
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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,060


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65
« Reply #4 on: February 10, 2023, 11:45:41 PM »
Adam Gray has filed to run for CA-13 again:
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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,060


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65
« Reply #5 on: March 10, 2023, 10:37:35 AM »
Quote from: wbrocks67 on March 10, 2023, 10:28:46 AM
I get being cautious, but some of these names are a bit surprising. Budzinski literally won by like 12% last year.



Some of these incumbents like Budzinski and Scholten even outran Biden in their districts which are already favorable for Democrats based on 2020 presidential results.
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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,060


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65
« Reply #6 on: April 12, 2023, 10:33:01 AM »
Majewski back in for OH-09:
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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,060


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65
« Reply #7 on: April 28, 2023, 10:08:20 AM »
Mondaire Jones is gearing up to run for his old seat again, setting up a primary fight between him and Liz Whitmer Gereghty (Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer's sister):

https://www.politico.com/news/2023/04/28/dem-primary-exlawmaker-govs-sister-00094269
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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,060


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65
« Reply #8 on: May 10, 2023, 05:42:26 PM »
Quote from: Gracile on April 28, 2023, 10:08:20 AM
Mondaire Jones is gearing up to run for his old seat again, setting up a primary fight between him and Liz Whitmer Gereghty (Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer's sister):

https://www.politico.com/news/2023/04/28/dem-primary-exlawmaker-govs-sister-00094269

Gereghty is officially in for NY-17:
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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,060


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65
« Reply #9 on: June 28, 2023, 08:24:11 AM »
EMILY's List weighs into the NY-04 and NY-17 races, endorsing Gillen and Gereghty:
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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,060


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65
« Reply #10 on: July 05, 2023, 10:38:00 AM »
« Edited: July 05, 2023, 10:44:03 AM by Gracile »
Nebraska State Sen. Tony Vargas announces that he will run again in NE-02:

https://www.ketv.com/article/omaha-state-senator-tony-vargas-announces-second-bid-for-us-congress/44441535
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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,060


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65
« Reply #11 on: August 30, 2023, 10:07:42 AM »
Brad Pfaff, the 2022 WI-03 Democratic candidate, is not planning on running for the seat next year:

https://www.jsonline.com/story/news/politics/elections/2023/08/30/2-top-western-wisconsin-democrats-wont-run-to-challenge-van-orden/70708957007/
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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,060


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65
« Reply #12 on: September 12, 2023, 03:47:41 PM »
Inside Elections released initial ratings for three competitive OH districts with the news that the congressional map will stay in place - OH-01 (Lean D), OH-09 (Lean D), and OH-13 (Tilt D). This article gives a rundown of the state of play in each district:

https://www.insideelections.com/news/article/ohio-house-democrats-defend-three-battleground-seats
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Gracile
gracile
Moderator
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,060


Political Matrix
E: -8.00, S: -7.65
« Reply #13 on: March 22, 2024, 10:09:53 AM »
Cook made some rating changes yesterday, two in favor of Republicans and two in favor of Democrats-

https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/house-rating-changes-mn-02-moves-likely-lean-democrat-three-other

FL-05: Likely R > Solid R
MN-02: Likely D > Lean D
NJ-03: Likely D > Solid D
VA-10: Likely D > Solid D
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