KS Sen GE 2020, Bollier vs Kobach, Rate It

[Frenchrepublican]

Tilt R to Lean R

-Yeah, Kobach lost the Gov race but there are some differences between a Gov race and a Sen race which is far more partisan and less prone to split ticket. Just look at the 2015 LA-Gov race, Vitter lost it even if he won easily the 2010 Sen race. Same thing in KY, had Bevin been a Senator he would have likely survived because of the greater polarization of federal races.

-Bollier is not a bad candidate but she is overrated, she is a liberal, suburban Democrat, she is a great fit for Johnson County but once again KS =/= Johnson County.

-Trump will win KS by 15 or more, thus he would likely carry Kobach accross the finish line, the big problem of Roy Moore, Pat Morrissey, Matt Rosendale or Matt Bevin is that Trump was not on the ballot, had they run with Trump on the ballot they would have likely all won as Trump would have drove lower turnout propensity conservative voters to polls

-A good comparison for a such race would be the 2018 KS-2 House race, Kobach like Watkins is a weak candidate but for the reasons stated above he would likely prevail nevertheless

[Frenchrepublican]

Titanium R. Republicans couldn’t possibly lose a Senate race in a red state in the Trump era of record polarization, KS isn’t trending Democratic at all, Trump being on the ballot will guarantee a R hold here, polling showing Kobach trailing Bollier is obviously manipulated, etc.

Kobach is  not even the nominee. Relax