It actually would not surprise me all that much if Biden got 41% of the vote in Kentucky; that's how much Obama got in 2008, and Biden is a considerably better fit for the state even if it has only trended right since then.
Trump wouldn't only get 53% of the vote, but I wouldn't be too shocked if Biden broke 40. A 57-41 margin like McCain had would make some sense, especially if it does turn out to be another strong year for Dems nationally.
There's a plausible scenario in which Biden improves a point or 2 on Clinton, but even that's unlikely.
Yeah, there are no upside for democrats in KY
