Who will elect a Democratic governor first: Florida or Nebraska?

[Frenchrepublican]

Florida

But that won't happen until 2026 at the earliest imo

This

[Frenchrepublican]

FL obviously, but you’re delusional if you think that Fried would stand a chance against DeSantis (unless he faces some scandals)

[Frenchrepublican]

FL obviously, but you’re delusional if you think that Fried would stand a chance against DeSantis (unless he faces some scandals)

We're delusional to think that the person who won by 0.4 could lose to a Dem that overperformed top ballot Dems? K.

DeSantis regularly has high approvals, favorability, and more bipartisan support than many other governors. He's in a solid position to win re-election.

People can approve and still vote for a Democrat in a partisan election. It is not delusional to think Nikki Fried could beat him. We don't know what the world will be like in 2022.

When was the last time a governor with a 60/25 approval rate lost reelection ?

[Frenchrepublican]

Fried overperformed b/c it was basically a single-issue race about legalizing various marijuana-adjacent products and nothing else. Good strategy to win, but not really something that she can transfer to a governor's race. Think she'd be able to beat him, but I wouldn't use the fact that she overperformed Gillum and Nelson as evidence that she'd be an all-star candidate in 2022.

In addition, while Fried did better than Nelson and Gillum in percentages, she received some 55,000 fewer raw votes than Nelson. Everyone who won in Florida last year won by accident because FL voters and election officials are morons and don't know how elections and this whole "voting" thing work. She also had the benefit of running against a massive dork, which I imagine swayed some votes.

Fried may be the obvious choice for the Democratic nomination in FL-GOV 2022 right now, but who knows how things may be come 2022 for both Fried and DeClowntis. Speaking of:

When was the last time a governor with a 60/25 approval rate lost reelection ?

Tell me what time machine you used to find DeSantis' 2022 approval ratings.

FL obviously, but you’re delusional if you think that Fried would stand a chance against DeSantis (unless he faces some scandals)

[Frenchrepublican]

MC's Q2 has DeSantis at +37 net approval (57% approve and 20% disapprove). He was at +34 in Q1, so he's only gotten more popular since. He's also got +29 among independents and is only -1 among Democrats. He's the favorite to win 2022 right now barring something major.

It’s my point.

[Frenchrepublican]

Fried overperformed b/c it was basically a single-issue race about legalizing various marijuana-adjacent products and nothing else. Good strategy to win, but not really something that she can transfer to a governor's race. Think she'd be able to beat him, but I wouldn't use the fact that she overperformed Gillum and Nelson as evidence that she'd be an all-star candidate in 2022.

In addition, while Fried did better than Nelson and Gillum in percentages, she received some 55,000 fewer raw votes than Nelson. Everyone who won in Florida last year won by accident because FL voters and election officials are morons and don't know how elections and this whole "voting" thing work. She also had the benefit of running against a massive dork, which I imagine swayed some votes.

Fried may be the obvious choice for the Democratic nomination in FL-GOV 2022 right now, but who knows how things may be come 2022 for both Fried and DeClowntis. Speaking of:

When was the last time a governor with a 60/25 approval rate lost reelection ?

Tell me what time machine you used to find DeSantis' 2022 approval ratings.

FL obviously, but you’re delusional if you think that Fried would stand a chance against DeSantis (unless he faces some scandals)

Things other than scandals can bring down Governors.

Even if 2022 is a D wave (assuming Trump is reelected) DeSantis would be favoured.