MS GOV : Hood losing to Reeves 36/48 (user search)
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  MS GOV : Hood losing to Reeves 36/48 (search mode)
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Author Topic: MS GOV : Hood losing to Reeves 36/48  (Read 3018 times)
Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
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« on: June 27, 2019, 10:19:40 AM »
« edited: June 27, 2019, 10:22:43 AM by Frenchrepublican »

https://fr.scribd.com/document/414537699/IMG-MS-Statewide-Survey-Analysis-Released#from_embed

Tate Reeves : 48%
Jim Hood : 36%

The poll was done for Y'all Politics and has Reeves winning by 12.
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Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: June 27, 2019, 10:27:55 AM »

The poll is only 27% white and 51/28 R/D. It's also 40% seniors. Given that, it's obviously unreliable and too friendly to Reeves.

Yeah, it's probably a bit too friendly to Reeves, now I don't expect a sky high turnout, so seniors representing 40% of electorate is plausible. 

Anyway, even if black voters are a bit undersampled in this poll, it's clear that Reeves has the advantage.
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Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #2 on: June 27, 2019, 11:08:32 AM »


Your logic anyway is :
1. A poll has a republican candidate leading : Junk !
2. A poll has a democrat leading : if don’t trust polls, you are a moron
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Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,275


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« Reply #3 on: June 27, 2019, 11:09:47 AM »

The poll is only 27% white and 51/28 R/D. It's also 40% seniors. Given that, it's obviously unreliable and too friendly to Reeves.

Yeah, it's probably a bit too friendly to Reeves, now I don't expect a sky high turnout, so seniors representing 40% of electorate is plausible.  

Anyway, even if black voters are a bit undersampled in this poll, it's clear that Reeves has the advantage.

The small one - probably (voting is extremely polarized in Mississippi now). But - no more..

But no more ?
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Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,275


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« Reply #4 on: June 30, 2019, 05:38:54 PM »


Your logic anyway is :
1. A poll has a republican candidate leading : Junk !
2. A poll has a democrat leading : if don’t trust polls, you are a moron
This coming from you.



I’m sorry dude, but Biden is not winning PA by 13, at worst he will win it by Obama 2008 numbers, but he is not doing even better than Casey
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Frenchrepublican
Junior Chimp
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Posts: 6,275


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« Reply #5 on: June 30, 2019, 05:39:30 PM »

Alison Lundergan Grimes taught me not to get my hopes up about supposedly-competitive races in the south. I’m applying that lesson to Hood as well.

This
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