Your early 2020 Senate rankings (user search)
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Author Topic: Your early 2020 Senate rankings  (Read 3520 times)
President Phil Scott
marco.rem451
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 344


« on: November 30, 2018, 08:09:00 PM »

1. Alabama for sure.
2. Colorado
3. Arizona (R to D)
4. Maine
5. New Hampshire
6. North Carolina
7. Texas
8. Georgia
9. Iowa
10. Michigan

Minnesota, as a bonus.
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President Phil Scott
marco.rem451
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 344


« Reply #1 on: November 30, 2018, 11:47:38 PM »

The candidates haven't been named, yet. All of these outlooks should be on hold.

Shaheen, Daines, Ernst, Collins, Warner, Gardner are all gonna get top tier challengers

Lol, who is even left as a top tier challenger in VA, and nobody that could take Warner out barring a major development.

Corey Stewart! lol

In all seriousness tho who was that one guy he narrowly beat by less than expected of a margin in the primary?
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President Phil Scott
marco.rem451
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 344


« Reply #2 on: November 30, 2018, 11:48:51 PM »

Note: Any race not listed is safe for the incumbent party.

Likely Democratic

Minnesota
Virginia

Lean Democratic

Colorado (pickup)
New Hampshire
Michigan

Tossup

Arizona (special)

Lean Republican

North Carolina
Georgia
Maine
Iowa

Likely Republican

Alabama(pickup)
Montana (tossup is Bullock runs)
Alaska
Texas
Kansas

Actually I broadly agree with this.
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President Phil Scott
marco.rem451
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 344


« Reply #3 on: December 01, 2018, 10:19:55 AM »

The candidates haven't been named, yet. All of these outlooks should be on hold.

Shaheen, Daines, Ernst, Collins, Warner, Gardner are all gonna get top tier challengers

Lol, who is even left as a top tier challenger in VA, and nobody that could take Warner out barring a major development.

Corey Stewart! lol

In all seriousness tho who was that one guy he narrowly beat by less than expected of a margin in the primary?

Nick Freitas. Yeah no, VA is just not even a purple state anymore and Trump will head the ticket, Warner is looking good for reelection.

I was saying Warner in case Gillepsie  jumps in. Some users think Cornyn is gonna lose. Julian Castro or no one is gonna jump in against Cornyn. Trump will win TX in a Presidential year by 15.

lol the same Gillespie who lost to Rulf Nordem (or was it Rolph Nertham) by ~10? not a chance my friend

O'Rourke has about the same same chance against Cornyn than as that he did against Cruz this year (to be clear, a pretty good one) if your were not following to the listin.
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President Phil Scott
marco.rem451
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 344


« Reply #4 on: December 01, 2018, 10:43:15 AM »

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President Phil Scott
marco.rem451
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 344


« Reply #5 on: December 04, 2018, 06:15:06 PM »

Yus, absolutely agreed.
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President Phil Scott
marco.rem451
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 344


« Reply #6 on: December 04, 2018, 06:47:10 PM »

Safe D:
MI

Likely D:
CO
ME (no Collins)

Lean D:
AZ

Tilt D:
MT (w/ Bullock)

Lean R:
NC
IA
ME (w/ Collins)
MT (no Bullock)

Likely R:
AL
GA
KS

Safe R:
TX
KY

Lupe Valdez could run against Abbot and still have a better chance than Doug Jones.

Who said Abbott was running for senate?
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President Phil Scott
marco.rem451
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 344


« Reply #7 on: December 04, 2018, 06:55:22 PM »

Safe D:
MI

Likely D:
CO
ME (no Collins)

Lean D:
AZ

Tilt D:
MT (w/ Bullock)

Lean R:
NC
IA
ME (w/ Collins)
MT (no Bullock)

Likely R:
AL
GA
KS

Safe R:
TX
KY

Lupe Valdez could run against Abbot and still have a better chance than Doug Jones.

Who said Abbott was running for senate?

sorry meant Corynyn. My bad

Ah.
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President Phil Scott
marco.rem451
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 344


« Reply #8 on: December 04, 2018, 06:57:19 PM »

Co, IA, NC, ME, AZ and MT. TX, KS and KY are upset potential, but the incumbents are favored

Gardner isn't favored right now. Collins would be debateable.

There won't be any incumbent in the AZ seat unless Kyl steps down early and Ducey/success for nominates an appointee who then runs (Mcsally time)

But even then, unless McCain comes back to life I do think the dem nominee is favored there for '20.
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