At this point, it really doesn't make a difference. Trudeau needs to stop the bleeding first. Canadians are broadly dissatisfied with the current government, and Liberal support is going directly to the Conservatives. The Liberals have been in a constant decline and their floor just seems to keep getting lower and lower. Same goes for Trudeau's approval ratings, although that's kind of a distinction without a difference, because the Liberal Party of Canada is heavily tied to Justin Trudeau's brand and vice versa. He's holding the floor in Quebec (which I think is why the party is still very united around an objectively very unpopular leader - Quebec is a very tricky province politically, Trudeau has a proven record of comfortably delivering 30+ Quebec seats to the Liberals, and the Liberals are still competitive in Quebec), but outside of Quebec, they have a serious credibility gap to make up right now. This is the state of affairs:
Some people seem to think that his gameplan is to use Trump as a club to hit Poilievre over the head with. It wouldn't be a surprising tactic, he used Doug Ford to hit Scheer over the head, and he used antivaxxers to hit O'Toole over the head, both times quite effectively. But in those elections, the Liberals were neck-and-neck with the CPC in the popular vote, and comfortably in minority territory seat-wise. Right now, the Liberals are in landslide defeat territory. Donald Trump is not the biggest issue in Canada, for Christ's sake. He's an issue, of course, but the things that are really hurting Trudeau are issues related to the economy, affordability, that kind of thing. And things are bad. Don't take my word for it, take Trudeau's, even he says things are bad in Canada right now. Donald Trump is not the main motivator for Canadian voters, he needs to improve on the issues that ARE the main motivators.
But let's say Trudeau turns things around. Maybe the new social programs are really popular, maybe the economy gets better, maybe Poilievre strangles a cat, it doesn't really matter. If the goal is to use Donald Trump to get re-elected, you also have to consider that Donald Trump is a considerably less predictable international partner than Joe Biden is. I mean, if Trudeau's motive behind wanting Trump to win is he thinks it's gonna get him re-elected, he also has to think about why that is. Donald Trump does what Donald Trump wants. His people don't speak the same language that Biden's people and Trudeau's people speak. There's just no scenario where Donald Trump is easier to deal with than Joe Biden, none. And right now, when the government already has so much on its plate, the last thing they need is to add Donald Trump to the plate.
not to mention polls show that canadian votesr by a ten point margin trust poilievre on the issue more then trudeau
Poll
