Biden VP news megathread (pg 286 - been selected, announcement could be today) (user search)
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  Biden VP news megathread (pg 286 - been selected, announcement could be today) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Biden VP news megathread (pg 286 - been selected, announcement could be today)  (Read 363653 times)
SInNYC
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« on: April 24, 2020, 09:46:04 AM »

Did Kamala Harris ever answer for the Mnuchin business while she was in the primaries?

I don't think so, but can we really expect Trump to try and grill his opponent's running mate on something that also reflects negatively on a member of his Cabinet?

Trump can be self-inconsistent in every way possible. Not only can he, but he does, sometimes in the same day. And if questioned about it he will just deny it and/or call the questioner a nasty person.

His supporters dont seem to mind.


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SInNYC
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Posts: 1,226


« Reply #1 on: April 30, 2020, 09:36:54 AM »

A Latino is a must.
Biden already has black support and he can get Kamala and Obama to campaign for him. He lacked Latino support in the primary (relative to Hillary) and needs to be aware of this weak spot. If Biden loses, it will be because he doesn’t listen/takes-for-granted Latino voters in the same way Hillary ignored some of her base.
Does an English-speaking half-Italian Senator whose paternal grandfather happened to immigrate from Mexico solve that problem?

Does a half-white guy who grew up in Hawaii with his white grandparents from Kansas appeal to blacks?

Yes. America is rooted in the one drop rule and most blacks know they likely have at least a small amount of white in their background. Obama considered himself black, married that way, and spoke that he was considered black when people saw him on the street.

Latino identity isn't quite so clear and probably more about language, which makes thing problematic for her, And Trump is the kind of person to mock her on her Spanish. Having said that, I do think she will help somewhat in the Latino vote (I'm assuming there is nothing in her past indicating that she is running away from the Latino part of her background) though I dont see a huge spike based on her ethnicity.
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SInNYC
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Posts: 1,226


« Reply #2 on: May 15, 2020, 09:17:28 AM »

I don’t see any evidence that Harris has a special appeal with minority voters. I do see some evidence that Klobuchar has some special appeal to Midwesterners. Harris definitely has more baggage. Klobuchar also passes the “ready to take over on day one” test more than Harris although I think both have sufficient experience considering the low bar set by Trump and Obama. My money is on Harris being the choice because identity politics are so important right now but Klobuchar is better.

I dont see this. She did terrible in the neighboring-state IA caucus despite being the best organized - lucky for her that the vote counting turned into a fiasco. There is also no evidence that she has labor appeal, which is important in the rust belt. In the labor part of MN (Iron Range), she did about 6 points better than Tina Smith in 2018, but she did much better than Smith in central MN (old voters) and exurbs, probably because of her long-time incumbency and surname. See maps at: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/11/06/us/elections/results-minnesota-elections.html (but be careful since the coloring is different.
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