2016 -> 2020 swing map by CD (user search)
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  2016 -> 2020 swing map by CD (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2016 -> 2020 swing map by CD  (Read 964 times)
nclib
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Posts: 10,305
United States


« on: February 21, 2021, 11:15:25 PM »

Good map, though it is frustrating not being able to tell which way the really close ones went.

It would be good to see close-ups of NYC and Chicago in addition to LA County.

I'm trying to make a list of CDs without sizeable minority population, swinging to Trump in addition to self-explanatory ones in UT and AR:

MO-8
WI-3
OH-4
OH-6
PA-15

What else? Any explanations for these CDs?
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nclib
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 10,305
United States


« Reply #1 on: February 27, 2021, 10:41:22 PM »

Largest Dem swings:

TX-3   13.14
GA-7   12.69
GA-6   12.59
TX-26   12.39
TX-24   11.70
CO-5   11.01
CO-7   10.83

Largest GOP swings:

FL-26   21.88
FL-25   21.24
TX-34   17.52
FL-27   16.37
FL-24   16.03
TX-28   15.54
NY-15   15.47

All are Hispanic majorities except FL-24 which is plurality black and has a good amount of Hispanics.

Largest GOP swings in majority-white CDs outside of Utah (2016 3rd party voters coming back to Trump) and Arkansas (loss of Hillary home state effect):

NY-10   6.30
CA-28   6.15
CA-30   4.14
OK-2   3.87
OH-9   3.12
OH-13   3.12
OH-6   3.09
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