nclib
Atlas Icon
Posts: 10,304
|
 |
« on: December 31, 2016, 08:24:51 PM » |
|
In 2008, counties that swung towards McCain were thought to be racist since they swung against the national swing, towards a white man over a black man (o/c this only measures racist Democrats in areas with not many blacks). The vast majority of such counties swung even more GOP in 2012 and 2016, and are essentially lost no matter who the Dems run and have become more GOP down the ticket. However, there were some that didn't. Were those statistical anomalies or actual Dems who are still open to a white Dem but not a black Dem, or just people who didn't like Obama for other reasons?
Counties that swung Rep in 2008 and Dem in 2016
AZ* Cochise
KS Wichita Stevens
OK Texas
TX Lipscomb Oldham Galveston King
AR Faulkner Washington
LA Lafayette Jefferson St. Tammany
GA Dawson Habersham
KY Leslie Perry
MA** Worcester Plymouth Norfolk
MA has two asterisks and AZ has one since the former is Kerry's and Romney's home state and the latter is McCain's home state.
LA is due to Katrina migration.
Any ideas on the other ones?
|
