2000 2004 Swing
Florida Bush +0.01% Bush +5.01% Bush +5.00%
New Mexico Gore +0.06% Bush +0.79% Bush +0.85%
Wisconsin Gore +0.22% Kerry +0.38% Kerry +0.16%
Iowa Gore +0.32% Bush +0.67% Bush +1.09%
Oregon Gore +0.44% Kerry +4.16% Kerry +3.72%
New Hampshire Bush +1.27% Kerry +1.37% Kerry +2.64%
Minnesota Gore +2.41% Kerry +3.48% Kerry +1.07%
Ohio Bush +3.51% Bush +2.10% Kerry +1.41%
Nevada Bush +3.54% Bush +2.59% Kerry +0.95%
Pennsylvania Gore +4.17% Kerry +2.50% Bush +1.67%
It is interesting that of the 10 closest states in 2000, only Florida swung to Bush above the national average.