The Megathread for All Things Hoosier!

[StateBoiler]

Trying to get an idea on governor's race results and it's a hard one to grasp. I previously said 51-38-11, I think right now I'm more 55-30-15, although Holcomb I can see clearing 60%. It's hard for me to tell how much of the Rainwater enthusiasm translates into real votes and how much of the Myers anti-enthusiasm doesn't extend beyond people that pay attention to politics. I think Holcomb is winning clearly, but the percentages everyone gets is a large range. For people that went and voted 2 weeks ago, what did they know or pay attention to in the governor's race (let alone county council)?

Politico had an article about this race from the 17th. They do talk about Myers and how he is seemingly made for this moment based on his pedigree but has been a complete failure. Gregg is quoted in the article:

“It’s been real disappointing because it can affect some down-ballot races,” Gregg, who thinks Myers is a poor communicator and fundraiser, told me. “He’s the most disappointing candidate that the Democrats have put forward in my lifetime. He is a physician in a pandemic, and an African American during our reckoning with racism and prejudice, and he’s still not gaining traction.” In response, a Myers’ campaign spokesperson says Myers “continues to be focused on direct voter contact while keeping the utmost caution during a pandemic,” and that Myers is benefiting from a number of early voters in Democratic strongholds.

I saw former state party chair Kip Tew in Howey Politics also say that the Myers campaign didn't focus early enough on fundraising. Feel there's going to be a lot of post-election analysis from them of "well, Myers completely failed" trying to pass as much of the failure off on him. He gets a lot - the botched finding of a nominee for lieutenant governor is inexcusable for any campaign that wants to be treated seriously - but the only reason Myers is the guy is because they could not find anyone else willing to run when everyone was thinking about it in 2019. Myers was never on the A-list or even B-list of potential hopefuls for the party.

https://www.politico.com/news/magazine/2020/10/17/anti-mask-politics-scrambling-indianas-governors-race-429997

[StateBoiler]

^ I live in the same general area as you and confirm the same as far as signs.

So Ragnar had a poll from the 18th to 21st they took. I have a problem with this poll which I'll explain below, but it does segregate voters that had already voted from the overall total.

Overall

President: Trump 48, Biden 40, Jorgensen 5, Undecided 7
Governor: Holcomb 52, Myers 26, Rainwater 14, Undecided 8

The poll says 22% already voted.

President: Biden 54, Trump 37, Jorgensen 2, Undecided 7
Governor: Holcomb 49, Myers 38, Rainwater 8, Undecided 6

HOW CAN YOU BE UNDECIDED IF YOU ALREADY VOTED?

But you can determine the composition of the remaining 78% that hadn't already voted:

Biden 0.40 = .22 * .54 + .78 * x -> x = 0.36
Trump 0.48 = .22 * .37 + .78 * x -> x = 0.51
Jorgensen 0.05 = .22 * .02 + .78 * x -> 0.06

Holcomb 0.52 = .22 * .49 + .78 * x -> x = 0.53
Myers 0.26 = .22 * .38 + .78 * x -> x = 0.23
Rainwater 0.14 = .22 * .08 + .78 * x -> x = 0.16

The 78% of the poll that had not cast their ballots already:

President: Trump 51, Biden 36, Jorgensen 6
Governor: Holcomb 53, Myers 23, Rainwater 16

[StateBoiler]

Howey's last pre-election newsletter today says that while Biden is much higher than Clinton, the anemic Myers performance for governor probably dooms Weinzapfel for Attorney General, hurts what could've been downballot, and may even stop Hale from winning in the 5th.

A lot of money has gone into Hale-Spartz, Howey ranks it a tossup. Also a lot of late money into various state legislature seats, predictably suburban seats.


I just realized this. It's funny to me, Todd Rokita can be considered the ultimate career politician, but one that actually believes in term limits.

[StateBoiler]

I saw my first Myers/Lawson sign today. Was in north Fort Wayne.

Past couple days I've seen TV ads for Weinzapfel, Rokita, and a Fort Wayne-based State House Representative that the Democrats are looking at defeating.

[StateBoiler]

Latest episode of Boss Hog of Liberty has both Democrat Jeannine Lake and Libertarian Tom Ferkinhoff on, the two people running to oust the Vice President's brother out of Congress in the 6th district, if you're interested.

https://bosshog.fireside.fm/

[StateBoiler]

These numbers all courtesy of the Fort Wayne CBS affiliate as of me posting. The president it says 0% reporting but a couple of the Congress districts it says 4 to 5%. Go figure.

Trump 56, Biden 42, Jorgensen 2
Holcomb 64, Myers 25, Rainwater 11
Rokita 65, Weinzapfel 35
Banks 67, Coldiron 33 (3rd Congress District)
Walorski 73, Hackett 27 - 5% reporting (2nd Congress District)
Spartz 53, Hale 45, Tucker 3 (5th Congress District)

edit: for Governor it says 7% reporting.

[StateBoiler]

AP has called the Governor's race for Holcomb.

Allen County (Fort Wayne and surrounding area) Early Voters Only Results

Trump 56.0, Biden 42.0, Jorgensen 1.8, Write-in 0.3
Holcomb 59.9, Myers 31.6, Rainwater 8.6
Rokita 59.3, Weinzapfel 40.7
Banks 60.4, Coldiron 39.6 (3rd Congress District)

[StateBoiler]

Holcomb 63-25-12 with 14% in. Rokita still up 65-35 (~126k votes) with 14% in.

The state election results site is still reporting zero.

In my current county of Whitley, with 27 of 34 precincts reporting, Rainwater leads Myers for 2nd by a margin of 2734 to 2562 (17.6% to 16.5%).

Straight ticket voting in Whitley as of these results, or Zombie Voters: Holcomb 4835, Myers 930, Rainwater 14
People that actually picked their governor choice: Holcomb 5402, Rainwater 2720, Myers 1632

[StateBoiler]

Rainwater finished 2nd over Myers in Whitley County, 18.3% to 15.7%, so there's at least 1.

[StateBoiler]

Spartz up about 2000 votes on Hale in the 5th with 57% reporting I think.

[StateBoiler]

Holcomb acceptance speech. Mentions Myers and gracious to what he added to the conversation. No mention of Rainwater. To be presumed I guess.

Unless there's a bunch of votes from heavily Democrat Marion out there, Spartz is up 51-45 on Hale.

[StateBoiler]

Current results pulled from the AP:

Trump 60.1%, Biden 37.9%, Jorgensen 2.0%
Holcomb 58.3%, Myers 29.0%, Rainwater 12.7%
Rokita 61.5%, Weinzapfel 38.5%

I expected Rokita to win, but I thought Weinzapfel would do a lot stronger than he did.

Gliding over rural counties, several Rainwater finished ahead of Myers. Myers looks to have won Lake, Tippecanoe narrowly, Marion, and Vanderburgh. Monroe no reported votes yet. Holcomb did win St. Joseph. Marion is Myers 51-39-11. Lake is 51-45-4. Hamilton is Holcomb 61-29-10. Allen is 59-30-11.

[StateBoiler]

My rough count is Rainwater ahead of Myers in about 30 counties for 2nd.

Trump 58.8, Biden 39.3, Jorgensen 2.0
Holcomb 57.6, Myers 30.0, Rainwater 12.4
Rokita 60.3, Weinzapfel 39.8

So if you extrapolate Biden voters to Holcomb, Trump voters to Rainwater, Holcomb got about 25% of Biden voters and Rainwater got about 17% of Trump voters.

[StateBoiler]

Howey's rough takes:

HPI DAILY ANALYSIS: Several thoughts this morning that will be expanded in Thursday's weekly HPI: 1. Mr. President, American elections end with all the ballots counted. 2. Woody Myers was a disastrous gubernatorial nominee. 3. The entire Indiana Democratic Central Committee should resign. The Democratic Party is no longer a credible, major party in this state. 4. American polling is unreliable. It is in a state of crisis. - Brian A. Howey

The GOP are actually going to net flip some state legislature seats.

[StateBoiler]

John Gregg recorded a segment with Abdul Hakim Shabazz election night. After they discussed the presidency, get into state stuff. Greatly disappointed, thinks a lot of Holcomb, not Rainwater.
He's like some of us and wonders why Zody was not replaced as State Chair following losing a primary earlier this year 82-18.

http://indypolitics.org/the-2020-election/

Howey Politics out today as well: https://howeypolitics.com

[StateBoiler]

Indiana swung slightly Biden, but very unhappy with the NW Indiana margins.

Do we have final seat changes for the state legislature? And did we have any notable municipal/county election results? I am GDPR-ed out of most local new, but looks like Chris Chyung sadly lost in a rematch

@WIBC_EricBerman

Marion County has finished counting votes from Tuesday's election, and will certify the results next week after reviewing provisional ballots. @MitchForRep's final margin in unseating Rep. @CindyKirchhofer (R-Indianapolis) is 720 votes (51-49).

Gore was the only Democratic House challenger to win; Republicans defeated Reps. Chris Chyung, Lisa Beck, Terry Goodin, Ross Deal and Melanie Wright to put their majority at 71-29.

The Goodin loss means every truly rural district in the state is now held by Republicans.

Going through the rest of Eric Berman's Twitter, Zody has said he will not seek a 3rd term running state Democrats. One guy appearing to be considering it is Buttigieg's national delegate director.

Boss Hog of Liberty election wrapup episode: https://bosshog.fireside.fm/199

Election recap episode! Our guest is Brad Brewer who has been following the Presidential saga with great interest. We have a full review of the local candidate races, following up on all of our 2020 guests, including Don Rainwater who received nearly a half million votes and 14.5 % of all votes cast in Indiana’s Governor’s race, in the face of straight ticket voting.

Finally, we look forward to the population shift for the 2022 and 2024 elections. We get new electoral and congressional maps. Huge changes coming for the next cycle. Buckle up!
Our program is community supported on Patreon. Do your part by chipping into the cause by donating monthly at any level at www.patreon.com/bosshogofliberty and receive even more BONUS coverage and content.

Rainwater announced yesterday to tell everyone to hang on to their yard signs, because he's asked his Lieutenant Governor nominee if he wants to stay on, he said yes, and he plans to run for Governor for the Libertarians in 2024.

[StateBoiler]

Indiana Issues' election recap with 1 representative from each party.

https://m.youtube.com/watch?feature=emb_title&time_continue=1875&v=dlb6Axv5LWM

It's mentioned at end of show rumors that Andre Carson and Joe Hogsett might be getting jobs in D.C.

INFocus from Indianapolis' Fox 59 affiliate with Sen. Todd Young. https://fox59.com/your-local-election-headquarters/in-focus-indiana-elected-officials-pundits-recap-contentious-2020-election/

Eric Berman

@WIBC_EricBerman Nov 6

@INSenDems change leaders, electing @Sen_GregTaylor to replace @TimLanane as minority leader. Taylor is the first African-American to lead any of the four #INLegis caucuses.

Senate Democrats gained 1 seat in Indy suburbs.

[StateBoiler]

Open seat and all that, but Leyva in the 1st district is above 40%. This is the strongest performance I can see for as far back as I can go into 1st district history. Considering if the Republicans thought they had a chance here, Leyva would not be the candidate, it sure makes redistricting for the 1st very interesting. The territory has to get larger, so does the legislature take it to South Bend to keep it Democrat-heavy or take it down south, making it more Republican?

I feel nationally a lot of mapmakers are going to be bewildered if they want to protect their party's seats due to the huge massive turnout and how areas will vote when there's no Trump around.

[StateBoiler]

Citing "informed and reliable Statehouse sources", Howey says Jim Lucas and John Jacobs will be kicked out of the State House Republican caucus. Lucas endorsed Rainwater, so expected, and Jacobs upset the sitting legislator in the primary and has made anti-Islamic, anti-Catholic comments. There might be a third. They have a 42-vote majority, so can afford to jettison 3.

Organization Day is next Tuesday. Here's how the 2 parties have voted:

Speaker Todd Huston (Fishers)
Majority Caucus Chair Greg Steuerwald (Avon)
Majority Floor Leader Matt Lehman (Berne)

Minority Caucus Leader Phil GiaQuinta (Fort Wayne)
Minority Floor Leader Cherrish Pryor (Indianapolis)
Minority Caucus Chair Terri Austin (Anderson)

State Senate Democrats did a complete reshuffle after their numbers went from 10 to 11. Tim Lanane (Anderson) lost his bid to stay Minority Floor Leader to Greg Taylor (Indianapolis). Lanane had been in the job 8 years.

New leadership:

Assistant Minority Floor Leader Eddie Melton (Gary) who made a brief attempt to go for Governor but did not run.
Caucus Chair J.D. Ford (Indianapolis) - famous for beating Mike Delph
Minority Whip Lonnie Randolph (East Chicago) - stays in the same job
Assistant Caucus Chair Shelli Yoder (Bloomington) - freshman as the old State Senator retired, she defeated John Zody in the primary

Old leadership:

Assistant Minority Leader Jean Breaux (Indianapolis)
Caucus Chair Karen Tallian (Portage) - she lost the Convention vote for Attorney General to Weinzapfel
Assistant Caucus Chair Frank Mrvan (Hammond) - got elected to Congress

Republican Majority in the Senate:

Senate President Pro Tempore Rodric Bray (Martinsville)
Majority Floor Leader Mark Messmer (Jasper)
Majority Caucus Chair Travis Holdman (Markle) - replaces Jim Merritt who retired from the Senate, I think he lost to Bray for Senate leadership following David Long's retirement

Biden's new Chief of Staff will be Ron Klain, a native of Indianapolis.

[StateBoiler]

So I've subscribed to Abdul Hakim-Shabazz's Cheat Sheet.

I guess Indianapolis Mayor Joe Hogsett is trying to get a job in the Biden administration, just in time for the state to take control of some city functions they're none too pleased with, but Hogsett could leave the problems then for his replacement.

[StateBoiler]

I posted it in the presidential results section, but look at Lake County presidential results.

Democratic Party state chair. Josh Owens and Karlee Macer who both "ran" for governor for the Democrats this year but never actually filed to run have declared interest in running the state party. But the biggest heavyweight is John Gregg who has also stated interest per Howey.

[StateBoiler]

I wonder who more Rainwater voters voted for President Trump or Biden it seems like Rainwaters anti lockdown stance would pull more Trump voters but Rainwater did decently in democratic areas too their were also a significant amount of Biden-Holcomb Voters too. Lots of ticket-splitting here

There's sizable numbers of Biden-Holcomb voters and Trump-Rainwater voters. I don't think there were terribly many Biden-Rainwater voters.

I think the Attorney General's race is your start off point to understand this electorate.

President: Trump 57.1, Biden 40.9, Jorgensen 2.0
Governor: Holcomb 56.6, Myers 32.0, Rainwater 11.5
Attorney General: Rokita 58.4, Weinzapfel 41.6

I don't see any Myers voters in appreciable numbers not voting for Weinzapfel or Biden. Myers unless the Democratic Party suffers an even further collapse in this state in the future is going to be their floor vote for a very long time.

With the AG race not having a Libertarian, you can say Jorgensen took from the main parties 1.3 from Trump, 0.7 from Biden. I do see the possibility of Republican voters that abhorred Trump voting Republican downballot voting for Biden or Jorgensen if they couldn't bring themselves to vote Democrat, and since Trump was winning Indiana regardless, a protest vote was cheap. But every Biden/Rokita voter you're saying there's a Trump/Weinzapfel voter to cancel it out.

Governor gets really fun. The simple take not looking at details is Rainwater took almost entirely from Myers with 0.5% from Trump. But based on Republicans that were upset with Holcomb pre-election and some Democrats that were happy with Holcomb's actions running the state, it looks like 9.5% of the electorate were Trump/Rainwater voters and 8.9% of the electorate were Biden/Holcomb voters.  

[StateBoiler]

State Rep. Christy Stutzman (wife of the former 3rd District Representative federally) resigning from the House. This district is near Elkhart.

As the co-owner of a newly acquired business at the beginning of 2020, this year has been extremely difficult. We have lost key partners and staff and have been devastated by the mandatory restrictions put in place by the Governor and health departments. We have limped along and our team has found very creative and innovative ways to safely provide food and entertainment for the past 7 months, with no instances of Covid spread. The team at the historic Barns at Nappanee and I have taken on many more jobs and responsibilities than we ever imagined and have made many sacrifices to keep the doors open.

Now, with the recent round of new mandatory Covid-related restrictions issued by the Governor, with no input or approval from the members of the General Assembly, our businesses and family have been set back further and I will be required to devote even more attention to helping our business survive into next year. Due to the instability and difficult circumstances that the Governor’s ongoing, unilateral decisions have created for our business and family throughout this year, the way those restrictions and decisions have affected our business as we enter 2021 and the time commitment that serving in the legislature requires, I have been forced to make an extremely difficult decision.

It is with a heavy heart that I will be tendering my resignation from my position as State Representative in order to focus on our family and salvage our business and the jobs of those we employ. I know that I am not alone in my deep distress at being forced to make such a decision and I am thankful for the prayers of many friends as I have struggled with this decision.

This is not something I had ever thought I would have to do, and hoped would not happen, but with the added burden of trying to keep a business afloat while still fulfilling my role as a wife and mother, I have decided that my family and my employees must come first.

I will be officially stepping down as State Representative for District 49 as of December 14th, and will be making further public statements regarding my replacement and my plans for public service in the future. It has been a great honor to serve the incredible people of District 49 and I will always be thankful for the opportunity I was given to be a strong voice for Elkhart County. May God continue to bless and protect this wonderful community.

Christy Stutzman
State Representative
District 49

In Rob Kendall's weekly Statehouse Happenings podcast, Abdul Hakim-Shabazz who at the time spread the rumor of Stutzman's resignation (it was this past weekend) hears she might challenge Walorski in 2022.

State Rep. Curt Nisly had a resolution on Organization Day he filed to remove the Governor's emergency declaration. Imagine he was the 3rd individual that might be removed from the GOP caucus.  Other than the Organization Day measures this is the first thing submitted, so its number is HCR 2.

[StateBoiler]

Front page article from Howey today on Lt. Gov. Suzanne Crouch and her 2024 aspirations. For a "this is just about everyone that could consider running", here's his list:

Suzanne Crouch would head up the earliest Howey Politics Indiana  Horse Race status as a leading contender, just about every Republican we’ve talked with expects an extensive field. At this nascent point, Crouch clearing the field as Mitch Daniels did in 2003 with quick exits by David McIntosh and Murray Clark (leaving just Eric Miller) isn’t likely to happen.
   
The potential 2024 field will likely find feelers from Attorney General-elect Todd Rokita, Republican Chairman Kyle Hupfer, U.S. Reps. Trey Hollingsworth and Jim Banks, Fishers Mayor Scott Fadness, former state senator Jim Merritt, Health & Human Services Secretary Alex Azar, Senate President Pro Tem Rod Bray, and, perhaps, even disgraced Attorney General Curtis Hill. If either U.S. Sen. Todd Young or Mike Braun decides to seek the office, the former could clear the field, the latter could self-fund as he did in the 2018 U.S. Senate primary. Hollingsworth is one of the richest members in Congress and could also self-fund.

Looks like the GOP will have a contested gubernatorial primary for the first time since 2004. I get the check mark bit of Crouch being a woman candidate for the GOP, but at the same time she's going to be Holcomb's legacy and who knows how that will look in 3 years' time when Republican voters never had a chance to vote against Holcomb in an internal party field. Either she is running or Hupfer is, not both. (Hupfer strikes me as a guy that would run for Senator or National Committeeman.) But I think for Crouch whose name ID is really not there she could easily be State Treasurer Kelly Mitchell who ran in a very large field 5th district primary and quite frankly got embarassed for a person that was elected statewide.

[StateBoiler]

I've been able to get straight ticket votes for more than 3/4ths of the counties. I'll list a best and worst 5 for the ones I have:

Total Votes

Holcomb

Best 5-Union 73.2%, Franklin 73.0%, Posey 72.9%, Dearborn 72.6%, Gibson 72.0%
Worst 5-Marion 39.0%, Monroe 39.4%, Lake 43.7%, St. Joseph 52.9%, Porter 53.2%

Myers

Best 5-Monroe 52.8%, Marion 52.1%, Lake 51.7%, St. Joseph 42.4%, Porter 38.6%
Worst 5-Decatur 12.7%, Daviess 12.9%, Martin 13.9%, Wells 14.0%, Franklin 14.3%

Rainwater

Best 5-Putnam 25.8%, Jay 23.1%, Martin 23.0%, Morgan 22.8%, Fulton 22.8%
Worst 5-Floyd 4.0%, Lake 4.6%, St. Joseph 4.7%, Vanderburgh 4.7%, Warrick 5.2%

Straight Ticket Voting, with the understanding this is only for 74 counties with some of the remaining 18 above:

Holcomb

Best 5-Daviess 90.9%, Franklin 89.0%, Rush 87.0%, Adams 86.5%, Decatur 86.5%, Owen 86.5%
Worst 5-Marion 33.5%, Lake 38.8%, Monroe 40.4%, St. Joseph 49.2%, Tippecanoe 53.0%

Myers

Best 5-Marion 65.9%, Lake 61.1%, Monroe 58.9%, St. Joseph 50.0%, Tippecanoe 45.5%
Worst 5-Daviess 9.0%, Franklin 10.9%, Rush 12.7%, Decatur 13.2%, Owen 13.2%

Rainwater

Best 5-Martin 2.0%, Fulton 1.9%, Gibson 1.7%, Wayne 1.6%, Posey 1.6%, Vigo 1.6%, Cass 1.6%

Ex-Straight Ticket Voting, again for the 74 counties:

Holcomb

Best 5-Posey 74.0%, Gibson 73.0%, Union 67.4%, Spencer 66.7%, Knox 65.4%
Worst 5-Monroe 38.6%, Morgan 43.7%, Owen 44.1%, Fulton 44.3%, Marion 46.9%

Myers

Best 5-Monroe 48.9%, Lake 38.3%, LaPorte 36.8%, Floyd 32.5%, Marion 32.2%
Worst 5-Carroll 11.8%, Martin 11.9%, Fountain 12.1%, Decatur 12.5%, Warren 12.5%

Rainwater

Best 5-Fulton 42.2%, Morgan 41.7%, Fountain 38.9%, Montgomery 36.4%, Henry 35.1%, Wabash 35.1%
Worst 5-Floyd 7.6%, Monroe 8.6%, Warrick 8.8%, Vanderburgh 9.4%, Clark 9.6%

I as of yet have not found published results including straight ticket voting for Blackford, Brown, Clinton, Crawford, Dearborn, Fayette, Jackson, Jasper, Jay, LaGrange, Lawrence, Ohio, Orange, Parke, Pike, Posey, Pulaski, Putnam, Scott, Shelby, Sullivan, and Switzerland counties. The largest county I don't have straight ticket voting results for is Dearborn with about 25,000 voters.

Monroe County (home of Indiana University) is the only county in the state Myers won not straight ticket voters, 49-39-12. Holcomb won Marion 47-32-21 and Lake 51-38-11.

Marion County votes for Myers were 152k straight ticket and 52k choice. For Holcomb, it was 77k straight ticket and 75k choice. (If you're a Marion County Democrat, that's great news for you.)

Holcomb won Morgan County (donut county on Indianapolis' southwest side) in non-straight ticket voters over Rainwater 8527 to 8134, or 44-42-15. Holcomb won Fulton County non-straight ticket voters over Rainwater 2101 to 1999, or 44-42-14. Morgan I know before this election had rapidly organized for the Libertarians and become a strong county affiliate. Henry County in east-central Indiana likewise.

Rainwater finished ahead of Myers in 33 counties. For non-straight ticket voters, there's an extra 17 at least I have data for where he did better than Myers and the voters actually voted for governor. Seems where Rainwater did worst was Ohio River Country.

The largest county as far as number of voters that Rainwater finished 2nd in was Hancock County with about 43,000 voters (60-20.1-19.9). Hancock is the donut county east of Marion. For removing ex-straight ticket voters, Rainwater finished ahead of Myers 48-28-24 in Hendricks County (donut county west of Marion), which was the 6th-largest county by votes. The two largest counties Marion and Lake went to Myers, so the largest county Holcomb won was Hamilton 61-30-9.

For the 11 largest counties that accounted for 52% of the state's voting population (in order: Marion, Lake, Hamilton, Allen, St. Joseph, Hendricks, Porter, Vanderburgh, Johnson, Elkhart, Tippecanoe):

Holcomb 798,949 51.2%
Myers 625,185 40.1%
Rainwater 135,491 8.7%

For the 81 counties that account for the remaining 48%.

Holcomb 907,696 62.1%
Myers 342,854 23.5%
Rainwater 210,046 14.4%

Straight Ticket voting, largest 11 counties accounting for 52% of electorate:

Holcomb 406,663 50.3%
Myers 398,438 49.3%
Rainwater 3,862 0.5%

Ex-straight ticket voting, largest 11 counties accounting for 52% of electorate:

Holcomb 392,286 52.3%
Myers 226,747 30.2%
Rainwater 131,629 17.5%

Percentage of total vote that was straight ticket (any party):

Top 5-St. Joseph 62.0%, Lake 59.0%, Marion 58.8%, Elkhart 57.0%, Steuben 55.4%
Bottom 5-Gibson 18.5%, Adams 20.8%, Dubois 24.7%, Spencer 27.3%, Vermillion 29.7%

Interestingly, the most straight ticket voting counties are the largest ones. 5 of the top 6 are in the 10 largest counties (the first 4 listed above plus Vanderburgh at 54.6%). Steuben County in the state's northeast corner is the oddball in the group. Others above 50% are Porter, Floyd, and Wayne counties. Of the largest counties, the one that had the smallest straight ticket voting was Hamilton at 38.0%.

Counties where Democrats had more straight ticket votes than Republicans: Marion, Lake, St. Joseph (barely), and Monroe.

Areas where the number of straight ticket votes alone this past election would get you closest to a majority, or "a Lizard can be the nominee, and would still win":

Steuben Republican 43.2%
Fountain Republican 40.6%
Warren Republican 39.4%
Elkhart Republican 39.1%
Marion Democrat 38.8%
Posey Republican 38.6%
Morgan Republican 37.9%
Franklin Republican 37.9%
Ripley Republican 37.8%