MS GOV : Hood losing to Reeves 36/48

[Old Man Willow]

And the "elastic MS" crowd is dead silent.

[Old Man Willow]

Hood wins 50-48

Hood becomes the next MS gov.

Reeves wins 52-46

Reeves becomes the next MS gov.

[Old Man Willow]

Alison Lundergan Grimes taught me not to get my hopes up about supposedly-competitive races in the south. I’m applying that lesson to Hood as well.

This

ALG ran for federal office in a state far more Republican than MS in a more favorable environment for Republicans and still outperformed Obama by 7 points. Hardly the best comparison.

If people actually believe Hood will do eight points worse than Espy, I have a bridge to sell them.

I mean I think they will track pretty closely. I see Hood doing better in the ancestrally dem NE counties than Espy, but worse in the delta.

"Ancestrally dem" places have utterly lost their minds recently. SE OH swung hard right from Fitzgerald to Dewine last year. I wouldn't get my hopes up.