Political future of Joe Cunningham. (user search)
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  Political future of Joe Cunningham. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Political future of Joe Cunningham.  (Read 681 times)
lfromnj
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« on: November 10, 2020, 01:49:35 AM »

I think he'll be back.  He's very charismatic and only lost by 1% in a bad year for House Dems.

That was before the coming gerrymander.

Making the district considerably more Republican than the current SC-1 is a Herculean task.

It is not. The seat is overpopulated, while the neighboring Safe D seat is underpopulated. It makes a lot of sense to take the Democratic parts of this seat and just give them to Clyburn.
This runs head-long into VRA issues - taking in the more Dem parts of the current SC-01 would make SC-06 less black.

SC-6 would still be black enough to be in conformity with VRA
I've tried making a more R version of SC-06 in DRA, using 2018 population and I've struggled mightily making an SC-01 than is considerably more R than the current version.
There's no obvious direction to go and any direction you go makes SC-06 more and more non-black, very fast.
Copy the current map on dra and then trade pop.
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