A razor-sharp victory using a uniform swing from 2016 (+12.53% D, -12.53% R)
Democrat: 46.23%
Republican: 46.22%
Libertarian: 4.61%
Others: 2.94%
closest county is Saline, which is 46.27-45.96.
an actual win would probably have stronger R margins in the rurals, with a few R 80%+ counties, and stronger D margins in Sarpy, Douglas, Lancaster, etc.
I’m guessing this map would be a 60%+ in Douglas and Lancaster Counties
Pretty close. Douglas is 59.86% here and I'd wager that an actual win rather than a uniform swing would have over 60% in Douglas and Lancaster (57.97% D here)
, a healthy majority in Sarpy
depends on what you call healthy. Here it's about D+4 (47.32-43.49)
and a large majority in Thurston with other areas keeping it close?
Pretty good majority in Thurston (56.54% D), and keeping Rs under 60% in Scottsbluff, eastern NE and the area between Grand Island, Kearney, and Lexington does it.
Where did that idea come from?
http://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/kansas-senate-room-for-an-upset/
