Post a Democratic NE Victory Map

[walleye26]

I’m guessing this map would be a 60%+ in Douglas and Lancaster Counties, a healthy majority in Sarpy and a large majority in Thurston with other areas keeping it close?

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

A razor-sharp victory using a uniform swing from 2016 (+12.53% D, -12.53% R)



Democrat: 46.23%
Republican: 46.22%
Libertarian: 4.61%
Others: 2.94%

closest county is Saline, which is 46.27-45.96.

an actual win would probably have stronger R margins in the rurals, with a few R 80%+ counties, and stronger D margins in Sarpy, Douglas, Lancaster, etc.

I’m guessing this map would be a 60%+ in Douglas and Lancaster Counties

Pretty close. Douglas is 59.86% here and I'd wager that an actual win rather than a uniform swing would have over 60% in Douglas and Lancaster (57.97% D here)

, a healthy majority in Sarpy

depends on what you call healthy. Here it's about D+4 (47.32-43.49)

and a large majority in Thurston with other areas keeping it close?

Pretty good majority in Thurston (56.54% D), and keeping Rs under 60% in Scottsbluff, eastern NE and the area between Grand Island, Kearney, and Lexington does it.

[lfromnj]

A razor-sharp victory using a uniform swing from 2016 (+12.53% D, -12.53% R)



Democrat: 46.23%
Republican: 46.22%
Libertarian: 4.61%
Others: 2.94%

closest county is Saline, which is 46.27-45.96.

an actual win would probably have stronger R margins in the rurals, with a few R 80%+ counties, and stronger D margins in Sarpy, Douglas, Lancaster, etc.

I’m guessing this map would be a 60%+ in Douglas and Lancaster Counties

Pretty close. Douglas is 59.86% here and I'd wager that an actual win rather than a uniform swing would have over 60% in Douglas and Lancaster (57.97% D here)

, a healthy majority in Sarpy

depends on what you call healthy. Here it's about D+4 (47.32-43.49)

and a large majority in Thurston with other areas keeping it close?

Pretty good majority in Thurston (56.54% D), and keeping Rs under 60% in Scottsbluff, eastern NE and the area between Grand Island, Kearney, and Lexington does it.

Where did that idea come from?
http://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/kansas-senate-room-for-an-upset/

[Chips]

A razor-sharp victory using a uniform swing from 2016 (+12.53% D, -12.53% R)



Democrat: 46.23%
Republican: 46.22%
Libertarian: 4.61%
Others: 2.94%

closest county is Saline, which is 46.27-45.96.

an actual win would probably have stronger R margins in the rurals, with a few R 80%+ counties, and stronger D margins in Sarpy, Douglas, Lancaster, etc.

I’m guessing this map would be a 60%+ in Douglas and Lancaster Counties

Pretty close. Douglas is 59.86% here and I'd wager that an actual win rather than a uniform swing would have over 60% in Douglas and Lancaster (57.97% D here)

, a healthy majority in Sarpy

depends on what you call healthy. Here it's about D+4 (47.32-43.49)

and a large majority in Thurston with other areas keeping it close?

Pretty good majority in Thurston (56.54% D), and keeping Rs under 60% in Scottsbluff, eastern NE and the area between Grand Island, Kearney, and Lexington does it.

Woah.

[Perlen vor den Schweinen]

In a NE Dem victory, we'd be seeing something similar to the results of the Initiative that expanded Medicaid, which passed in the 2018 general. A map of the results is illustrated in this tweet:

https://twitter.com/Millenarian22/status/1259192965462814720

[walleye26]

Any reason the two Panhandle counties voted in favor?

[GM Team Member and Senator WB]

Any reason the two Panhandle counties voted in favor?

The one further west is Scottsbluff, the only real city in the area and thus a bit more liberal. Dawes county, the other one, is home to the 3,000 student Chadron State College. The county as a whole has 9,000 people or so