I actually agree with SN here on the current numbers.
AZ is mostly believable here but I am pretty sure they aren't weighting properly by education for WI/OH.
Im going to wait however for the next marquette poll of Wisconsin which no one should discount.
The most recent MQ poll was Biden +4, I would currently plug it around Biden +5?
Ohio is probably like Trump +3 or 4.
Fox News polls do weight by education (and use voter files in states where that's possible). I do wish they would show their college/non-college breakdown for the sake of transparency though, they don't seem to in those polls.
Fox had polls in 2018 for missouri and Indiana which both overestimated the d incumbents.
Anyway seems like they haven't done it properly in 2018 .
Their Az poll was pretty good though and I find it about right for right now
