Doesn't matter, Republicans are winning all 3
Anyway:
KY: Campbell/Kenton (Beshear needs these to win), Woodford (if Beshear isn't winning this easily he's losing)
LA: Jefferson (Edwards needs around 54% here), St. Bernard (Edwards needs to win this by at least 4 points)
MS: Madison (Hood needs it to win), Rankin (Reeves needs to win here by at least 20 points)
Edwards need to win more than 54% in Jefferson county if he wants to be re-elected
What makes you say that? He won Jefferson Parish by only a point last time and Clinton lost if by 15 while losing the state by 20.
It's true Jefferson ran 6% ahead of his statewide result in the jungle primary but that's still not wildly off from 4%.
At this point, it's pretty much a given that everything west of Baton Rouge will trend hard against him vs. 2015. Having the best Dem performance since the Dixiecrat era in the eastern, urbanized part of the state is mandatory, not optional for him to win. This is especially true in Jefferson as Vitter was from there and likely had a substantial hometown vote. JBE probably needs to be close to 60% there.
Well Caddo might not. I think JBE needs to focus on Lafayeette too.
